【SMM Analysis】Ternary Cathode May Production Exceeds Expectations with Notable Increase

Published: May 7, 2026 17:52
The recent concentrated launch of new vehicle models has generated stocking demand, with downstream battery cell manufacturers holding positive expectations for future orders and relatively active pick-ups, boosting cathode manufacturers' production schedules.

This week, ternary cathode material prices rose sharply. On the raw material front, nickel sulfate prices continued to increase, while cobalt sulfate and manganese sulfate remained stable. Spot prices of lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide rose significantly after the holiday, jointly driving a rapid increase in ternary cathode material prices.

In terms of transactions, the market remained focused on executing previously signed long-term contracts. Most manufacturers currently use quarterly contracts, with the associated payables maintaining original levels. The increase in upstream nickel sulfate prices has not yet been passed through to the payables for settlements between cathode manufacturers and battery cell manufacturers. On the spot contract front, with raw material prices remaining high, transactions have continued to be quiet.

On the demand side, May domestic ternary cathode production schedules show a significant increase exceeding expectations. The main reasons include: first, the recent concentrated launch of new vehicle models has generated stocking demand, with downstream battery cell manufacturers holding positive expectations for future orders and relatively active pick-ups, boosting cathode manufacturers' production schedules; second, overseas markets, particularly Europe, have seen strong vehicle sales, with second-quarter sales expected to continue improving, providing a boost to cathode demand. In addition, certain brands have periodic restocking needs. The above factors have collectively driven an increase in manufacturers' production schedules. On the consumer market and e-mobility market front, as they remain in the traditional off-season, near-term demand has been relatively flat.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Glencore Q1: African copper cathode surges 68%, cobalt production falls 39% y-o-y
Common.Time.minsAgo
Glencore Q1: African copper cathode surges 68%, cobalt production falls 39% y-o-y
Read More
Glencore Q1: African copper cathode surges 68%, cobalt production falls 39% y-o-y
Glencore Q1: African copper cathode surges 68%, cobalt production falls 39% y-o-y
Own-sourced copper production from Glencore’s African copper assets — KCC and Mutanda — rose by 27,400 tonnes (68%) year on year to 67,900 tonnes, with KCC contributing 51,900 tonnes (up 72% year on year) and Mutanda 16,000 tonnes (up 55%), according to the production report. Glencore attributed the increase to improved grades at both operations. African cobalt production fell to 5,100 tonnes, down by 42% year on year, with Mutanda producing no cobalt in the quarter compared with 2,900 tonnes a year earlier, according to the report. For the first quarter of 2026, Glencore’s own-sourced cobalt production was 5,800 tonnes, down by 39% year on year.
Common.Time.minsAgo
Korea Zinc posts Q1 operating profit of KRW 746.1 billion, stays profitable for 105th consecutive quarter
1 hour ago
Korea Zinc posts Q1 operating profit of KRW 746.1 billion, stays profitable for 105th consecutive quarter
Read More
Korea Zinc posts Q1 operating profit of KRW 746.1 billion, stays profitable for 105th consecutive quarter
Korea Zinc posts Q1 operating profit of KRW 746.1 billion, stays profitable for 105th consecutive quarter
Korea Zinc announced on May 6 that its consolidated operating profit for the first quarter was preliminarily estimated at KRW 746.1 billion, up 175.2% from a year earlier. Revenue for the quarter rose 58.4% year on year to KRW 6.072 trillion, while net profit increased 117.9% to KRW 354.0 billion.
1 hour ago
COSMO Chemical’s Q1 sales rise 33%
1 hour ago
COSMO Chemical’s Q1 sales rise 33%
Read More
COSMO Chemical’s Q1 sales rise 33%
COSMO Chemical’s Q1 sales rise 33%
COSMO Chemical disclosed its preliminary earnings for the first quarter of 2026 on May 6. On a consolidated basis, the company posted revenue of KRW 60.6 billion and operating profit of KRW 5.5 billion. Revenue increased 33% year on year. In particular, both operating profit and pre-tax profit turned positive compared with the previous quarter.
1 hour ago
Register to Continue Reading
Gain access to the latest insights in metals and new energy
Already have an account?sign in here