Intraday, multiple ferrous metals futures turned positive, with the most-traded HRC contract closing at 3302, up 0.67%. In the spot market, cold-rolled and hot-rolled prices edged up within the day, trading performance was moderate, improving MoM. News-wise, disturbances from the raw material side intensified intraday, driving HRC futures to strengthen.
Fundamentally, the impact of steel mill maintenance is rising in July, and production is expected to remain at medium-to-low levels. Against the backdrop of the off-season, inventory will gradually accumulate in July. In other aspects, there are still expectations for macro meetings in late July, and the cost side still faces periodic stimulus from raw material ore and coke. Short-term sheets & plates prices are expected to fluctuate following cost trends. Considering HRC fundamentals are hard to provide strong price drivers, the upside room for prices driven by periodic macro and cost stimulus is temporarily limited. Attention is on the most-traded HRC contract at 3330-3350.
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