[SMM Coking Coal and Coke Daily Brief] 20260612

Published: Jun 12, 2026 16:32
[SMM Daily Brief on Coking Coal and Coke] News-wise, some regional steel mills have accepted an increase of 50 yuan/mt for wet-quenched coke and 55 yuan/mt for dry-quenched coke, effective from 0:00 on June 15, 2026 (the seventh round). Supply side, affected by the slowing rise in coking coal prices, the sixth round of coke price increases has been implemented, yet cost pressure on coking plants remains, and their losses have not materially improved. Coupled with stricter safety inspections, the release of coking capacity is restricted, while procurement by downstream steel mills remains active and coking plant inventories stay low, keeping coke supply persistently tight. Demand side, current steel mill operations are stable, and hot metal output stays high, ensuring steady coke demand, with low-inventory steel mills showing strong willingness to restock.

[SMM Daily Briefing on Coking Coal and Coke]

Coking Coal Market:

Linfen low-sulphur coking coal was quoted at 1,980 yuan/mt.

On the coking coal side, safety inspections have become stricter across the board due to the combined impact of coal mine accidents and the June Safety Month, leading to production suspensions and output cuts at many mines and tightening raw coal supply. Coupled with the implementation of the sixth round of coke price increases, coking plants and traders have been purchasing actively, leaving coal mine inventories low and supplies tight. The market holds strong bullish expectations, and coal prices still have upward momentum.

Coke Market:

The nationwide average price of quasi-first-grade metallurgical coke (dry quenching) stood at 1,925 yuan/mt.

On the news front, some regional steel mills have accepted an increase of 50 yuan/mt for wet-quenched coke and 55 yuan/mt for dry-quenched coke, to be implemented from midnight on June 15, 2026 (the seventh round). In terms of supply, with the moderation in coking coal price rises, although the sixth round of coke price increases has taken effect, coking plants still face cost pressure and loss-making conditions have not substantially improved. Stricter safety inspections have also constrained capacity release at coking plants. Meanwhile, active procurement by downstream steel mills has kept coking plant inventories low, and coke supply remains persistently tight. On the demand side, steel mills are currently operating stably with high hot metal output, ensuring solid fundamental demand for coke, while low-inventory mills show strong willingness to restock. Overall, the cost side provides strong support; steel mill arrivals are tight and overall inventories are low, sustaining the tight supply situation. The market is expected to hold up well next week, with strong expectations for the seventh round of coke price increases to be implemented. [SMM Steel]

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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This week, ferrous metals experienced divergent and volatile movements. At the start of the week, the four major stock indices all closed lower. Coking coal futures showed strong performance, with the most-traded contract 2609 hitting a high of 1,486.5 yuan/mt, while ore and steel futures trended weaker. Subsequently, hit by news about Shaanxi authorities ensuring coal supply for enterprises, coupled with persistently weak steel consumption, supply-demand imbalances gradually built up, leading to a sharp decline in coking coal and coke futures. In the latter half of the week, on the one hand, news of iron ore shipments and tightening market liquidity drove a stronger performance in its futures; on the other hand, the escalation of coking coal supply tightness once again pushed up coking coal, coke, and hot-rolled coil and rebar futures prices. In the spot market, the sixth round of coke price increases was implemented mid-week......
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