High Copper Prices with No Improvement in Demand, Weekly Cable Operating Rate Under Pressure [SMM Wire and Cable Market Weekly Review]

Published: May 29, 2026 13:51

This week (May 22–May 28), the SMM copper wire and cable enterprise operating rate was recorded at 66.1%, down 0.77 percentage points WoW and down 12.57 percentage points YoY. During the week, copper prices stayed high, and as the traditional off-season gradually approached, overall industry demand showed no significant improvement. End-use demand side, only State Grid orders were heard to remain stable, with submarine cable and channel orders performing relatively well overall; medium- and low-voltage products for construction and real estate sectors continued to deliver mediocre performance. Inventory side, raw material inventory increased 2.06% WoW, mainly because some enterprises restocked when copper prices pulled back at the end of the week; finished product inventories increased 1.37% WoW, indicating that weakening demand slowed down end-user cargo pick-up. Looking ahead to next week, the copper price pullback at the end of the week is expected to drive some growth in new orders, boost this week's production schedule arrangements, and push up the operating rate. SMM expects the copper wire and cable operating rate next week (May 29–June 4) to continue rising 1.26 percentage points WoW to 67.36%, down 8.72 percentage points YoY.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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Looking ahead to tomorrow, today's Shanghai social inventory recorded 139,400 mt, up 7,400 mt WoW from last Thursday; Jiangsu's inventory recorded 44,400 mt, up 2,500 mt WoW, showing a slight inventory buildup trend. According to SMM, the buildup was mainly due to arrivals from some domestic smelters combined with inflows of imported cargo, increasing supply-side pressure somewhat. In terms of market performance, intraday trading was overall sluggish. Suppliers quoted premiums from parity to a premium of 30 yuan/mt in early trading, but transactions failed to follow up, leading to successive downward revisions of quotes. By the second session, actual transactions for standard-quality copper had fallen to around a discount of 50-30 yuan/mt. Some suppliers were offloading cargo, further dragging down the center of market premiums. Overall demand was weak, with downstream users only making just-in-time procurement, lacking the willingness to chase higher prices. Overall, under the combined pressure of inventory buildup and increased willingness to sell among suppliers, Shanghai spot copper prices against the SHFE copper 2607 contract are expected to remain at current levels tomorrow.
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High Copper Prices with No Improvement in Demand, Weekly Cable Operating Rate Under Pressure [SMM Wire and Cable Market Weekly Review] - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)