SHFE Base Metals Warrants (2017-10-18)

[SMM Brass Billet News Flash] Recycled brass raw materials supply maintained a tight pattern, with raw material prices severely inverted. Raw material inventory of sample brass billet enterprises pulled back slightly to 4.11 days. Meanwhile, the industry gradually entered the traditional off-season, and the pace of downstream cargo pick-up slowed down. Days of finished product inventories of sample enterprises increased slightly to 5.51 days.

[SMM Brass Billet News] This week (4.24-4.30), the operating rate of the brass billet industry was recorded at 52.56%, down 0.35 percentage points WoW. Copper prices continued to fluctuate at highs, and enterprises' production mainly relied on previous orders on hand, while new orders continued to weaken.

[SMM Shanghai Spot Copper] Looking ahead to the post-holiday period, demand side, enterprises are still primarily making just-in-time procurement, and demand is unlikely to see significant increases after the holiday. In addition, some downstream processing enterprises prefer to purchase directly from smelters to ensure bill compliance, diverting some spot demand from the trading market. Supply side, first, diesel shortages in Africa have hindered transportation and logistics, delaying the pace of imported cargo arrivals at ports, resulting in tight imported copper supply in the short term; second, according to SMM, five smelters in China are expected to enter maintenance in May, which will also reduce domestic spot copper circulation. Overall, against the backdrop of tightened spot circulation caused by hindered imports and domestic maintenance, suppliers have a strong willingness to hold prices firm, and Shanghai spot copper premiums are expected to hold up well after the holiday.