Declining Aluminum Prices Boost Market Procurement Sentiment, Premiums Stabilize [SMM Spot Aluminum Midday Commentary]

Published: Mar 16, 2026 15:14

SMM, March 16:

The SHFE aluminum 04 contract opened higher and extended gains today, while market transactions were relatively sluggish. Futures later fell, and as buying sentiment strengthened and price acceptance improved, transaction prices in the spot market moved higher. Today’s mainstream quotations and transaction prices were mainly concentrated between a discount of 10 yuan/mt and the average price. Today, the east China market shipments sentiment index was 3.07, down 0.26 WoW; the purchase sentiment index was 2.66, up 0.11 WoW.

Today, aluminum prices continued to edge lower from last Friday, and with inventory remaining high, traders in the central China market showed limited bullish sentiment. Overall purchase volumes recovered somewhat from the previous two trading days. As futures prices declined, market premiums showed a continued upward trend. Ultimately, actual transaction prices in the central China market were mainly concentrated between a discount of 10 yuan to the central China price and a premium of 20 yuan to the central China price, and moved higher throughout the session. Today, the central China market shipments sentiment index was 2.58, down 0.09 WoW; the purchase sentiment index was 2.36, up 0.01 WoW.

Inventory side, aluminum ingot inventory in major consumption regions increased by 18,500 mt WoW today, with all three regions showing inventory buildup. In the short term, following the Chinese New Year, aluminum ingot continued to see seasonal inventory buildup. Affected by bullish sentiment, premiums are expected to remain on a narrowing trend.

 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Central China Aluminum Market Sees Narrow Spread, Firm Prices Amid Declining SHFE Futures
6 hours ago
Central China Aluminum Market Sees Narrow Spread, Firm Prices Amid Declining SHFE Futures
Read More
Central China Aluminum Market Sees Narrow Spread, Firm Prices Amid Declining SHFE Futures
Central China Aluminum Market Sees Narrow Spread, Firm Prices Amid Declining SHFE Futures
[SMM Central China Spot Aluminum Midday Review] SHFE aluminum futures prices continued to decline compared to yesterday's early session, with a relatively narrow spot-futures spread. Traders in the central China market took the opportunity to hold prices firm, maintaining high discounts and shipping large volumes, while market trading sentiment edged up from yesterday. The actual transaction price range in the central China market was around a discount of 100-130 yuan/mt against the SHFE aluminum June contract.
6 hours ago
SHFE: Cast Aluminum Alloy Warrants Drop to 38,866 mt on June 9
6 hours ago
SHFE: Cast Aluminum Alloy Warrants Drop to 38,866 mt on June 9
Read More
SHFE: Cast Aluminum Alloy Warrants Drop to 38,866 mt on June 9
SHFE: Cast Aluminum Alloy Warrants Drop to 38,866 mt on June 9
[SMM Flash] SHFE data showed that on June 9, the total registered warrants for cast aluminum alloy stood at 38,866 mt, a decrease of 448 mt from the previous trading day. Among them, the registered quantity in Shanghai was 2,897 mt, unchanged from the previous trading day; Guangdong 8,801 mt, down 514 mt; Jiangsu 7,560 mt, down 59 mt; Zhejiang 12,666 mt, up 185 mt; Chongqing 5,947 mt, down 60 mt; and Sichuan 995 mt, unchanged.
6 hours ago
Metro Mining Sees 45% Monthly Bauxite Shipment Growth in May, Forecasts Strong H2 Recovery
7 hours ago
Metro Mining Sees 45% Monthly Bauxite Shipment Growth in May, Forecasts Strong H2 Recovery
Read More
Metro Mining Sees 45% Monthly Bauxite Shipment Growth in May, Forecasts Strong H2 Recovery
Metro Mining Sees 45% Monthly Bauxite Shipment Growth in May, Forecasts Strong H2 Recovery
On June 9, Metro Mining released an operational update. In May 2026, bauxite shipments reached 604,000 wmt, up 45% MoM. From January to May, Metro shipped a total of 1.12 million wmt of bauxite, a 5% YoY decline. With the full recovery of transport capacity, bauxite shipments are expected to rebound in H2. Full-year 2026 bauxite shipments are expected to range from 6.6 million to 7.1 million wmt.
7 hours ago
Register to Continue Reading
Gain access to the latest insights in metals and new energy
Already have an account?sign in here
Declining Aluminum Prices Boost Market Procurement Sentiment, Premiums Stabilize [SMM Spot Aluminum Midday Commentary] - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)