[Breve Análise do Minério de Ferro na China] Os preços do minério de ferro na região de Tangshan podem ter algum espaço para subir mais

[SMM Stainless Steel Daily Review] Base Metals Slump Drags SS Lower; Spot Stainless Steel Holds Price Floor with Limited Losses as Downstream Stays Sidelined According to SMM on June 23, SS futures fluctuated lower and gradually pulled back. Base metals futures fell across the board today, dragging SS futures lower in tandem. As of the close, the most-traded SS contract settled at 14,885 yuan/mt. In the spot market, while SS futures pulled back sharply, cautious wait-and-see sentiment among downstream enterprises intensified, and spot transactions remained sluggish with no significant improvement. However, spot traders continued to hold their price quotes firm, limiting the overall extent of price declines. Regarding the most-traded SS futures contract, at 10:15 AM, SS2608 was reported at 14,930 yuan/mt, down 155 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Spot premiums for 304/2B products in the Wuxi area ranged 240-640 yuan/mt. In the spot market, the average price for cold-rolled 201/2B coil in Wuxi was flat; for cold-rolled, un-edged 304/2B coil, the average price in Wuxi fell by 50 yuan/mt while the average price in Foshan remained flat; prices for cold-rolled 316L/2B coil in the Wuxi area were flat; and for hot-rolled 316L/NO.1 coil, quoted prices in Wuxi fell by 25 yuan/mt. Prices for cold-rolled 430/2B coil in both Wuxi and Foshan held steady. This week, stainless steel futures and spot experienced wild swings, as offshore macro expectations repeatedly disrupted futures and the market saw an intensified tug-of-war between longs and shorts. The overall landscape was one where macro forces dominated futures, transactions fluctuated with sentiment, tightening supply supported spot prices, inventories remained steady, and profits saw minor repairs. Early in the week, macro tailwinds lifted the market, and the futures rebound spurred a recovery in spot transactions; by mid-week...

O consumo de aço acabado da Índia aumentou 7%, para 161 milhões de toneladas no AF26, marcando o crescimento mais lento pós-pandemia. A demanda de infraestrutura manteve-se estável em 45 milhões de toneladas, à medida que a execução de projetos, a construção de rodovias e o desembolso de fundos desaceleraram. A indústria de transformação tornou-se o principal motor de crescimento, com engenharia, bens de capital, bens de consumo duráveis e automóveis elevando a demanda combinada para 60 milhões de toneladas e contribuindo com mais de 70% do crescimento incremental. A BigMint espera que a demanda suba para 175 milhões de toneladas no AF27, à medida que a infraestrutura se recupera.