Revisão dos Futuros de Alumínio SMM: Custos da Alumina Caem, Preços do Alumínio Flutuam em Meio às Tendências de Produção e Consumo

Publicado: Feb 17, 2025 17:47
[Revisão Breve dos Futuros de Alumínio SMM: Recuo da Alumina com Redução de Posições, Alumínio na SHFE Oscila para Baixo, Movendo-se para Baixo Após Abertura em Alta] Grandes cortes na produção de alumina ainda não ocorreram. Aliado à compressão de lucros, espera-se que o custo da alumina diminua consequentemente. O mercado spot de alumina permanece relativamente abundante em oferta, e a tendência de queda nos preços de transação spot persiste, provavelmente continuando no curto prazo. No lado da oferta de alumínio, a pressão do retorno da produção ressurgiu, com a capacidade operacional doméstica de alumínio em fevereiro prevista para aumentar ligeiramente. O consumo está em fase de recuperação, com os setores a jusante retomando amplamente as operações, embora a recuperação varie entre os diferentes segmentos. No futuro, à medida que a demanda por energia solar (PV) aumenta e os usuários finais retomam totalmente a produção, enquanto os incrementos do lado da oferta permanecem limitados, espera-se que os preços do alumínio mantenham flutuações em níveis elevados no curto prazo. Devido à recuperação incompleta do consumo, o mercado ainda está em uma fase de acumulação de estoques pós-feriado, com a acumulação de estoques provavelmente continuando durante a semana. No entanto, a pressão geral de estoques permanece relativamente pequena.

Declaração sobre a Fonte de Dados: Com exceção das informações publicamente disponíveis, todos os demais dados são processados pela SMM com base em informações publicamente disponíveis, comunicação de mercado e com base no modelo de base de dados interna da SMM. São apenas para referência e não constituem recomendações para a tomada de decisão.

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[Revisão Breve dos Futuros de Alumínio SMM: Recuo da Alumina com Reduç - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)