Polysilicon Production Significantly Reduced in June, Upstream PV Products Price Decline Slows Down

Publicado: Jun 3, 2024 18:06
Last week, the mainstream transaction prices for P-type dense material were 34-38 yuan/kg, and for N-type polysilicon, the transaction prices were 40-44 yuan/kg. Polysilicon prices remained relatively stable last week, with minor fluctuations.

Polysilicon: Last week, the mainstream transaction prices for P-type dense material were 34-38 yuan/kg, and for N-type polysilicon, the transaction prices were 40-44 yuan/kg. Polysilicon prices remained relatively stable last week, with minor fluctuations. Compared to previous weeks, the decline has slowed down. Currently, leading companies have maintenance plans for some bases in June, and the production of polysilicon in June is expected to decrease by about 40,000 tons MoM, providing some support for prices.

Silicon Wafer: The mainstream transaction prices for domestic monocrystalline silicon wafers (182mm) were 1.10-1.2 yuan/piece, and for N-type 182mm wafers, the prices were 1.05-1.1 yuan/piece. Silicon wafer prices continued to decline last week, with N-type wafer prices approaching the 1 yuan mark due to the impact of some orders exceeding 100 million pieces. However, as polysilicon prices stabilize, the decline in silicon wafer market prices has also begun to slow down.

PV Cells: Last week, the PV cell market was sluggish, and prices remained stable. The current prices for high-efficiency PERC 182 cells (23.2% efficiency and above) were 0.30-0.31 yuan/W; PERC 210 cells were around 0.32-0.33 yuan/W; Topcon 182 cells (24.7% efficiency and above) were around 0.28-0.31 yuan/W; and Topcon 210RN cells were 0.35-0.36 yuan/W. Battery makers have started planning orders for next month, with most reporting that June orders are not as good as May. Downstream module manufacturers are observing prices and have various plans to reduce production, leading to a noticeable oversupply of cells.

PV Modules: In the PV module market last week, the mainstream transaction prices for centralized PERC 182mm modules were 0.74-0.82 yuan/W, for PERC 210mm modules were 0.76-0.84 yuan/W, for N-type 182mm modules were 0.8-0.86 yuan/W, and for N-type 210mm modules were 0.84-0.87 yuan/W. Module prices remained relatively stable last week, with some high-priced N-type modules seeing a price reduction. Due to weak demand, rising inventory, and increased competition, module prices may continue to decline. Several companies reduced production to varying degrees in May, and some companies still have plans to reduce production in June, with expected production levels decreasing MoM compared to May.

End-users: From May 20, 2024, to May 26, 2024, SMM statistics show that 26 PV module projects were awarded to domestic companies, with bid prices concentrated in the range of 0.84-0.92 yuan/W. The weighted average price for the week was 0.87 yuan/W, an increase of 0.01 yuan/W compared to the previous week. The total procurement capacity awarded was 902.53MW, a decrease of 801.19MW compared to the previous week. Recently, module procurement prices have remained low due to continued price fluctuations in the industry chain, and project observation sentiment persists. Current end-user project progress is slow, with frequent delays or cancellations due to factors such as electricity prices, land, and infrastructure.

EVA: Last week, PV-grade EVA prices continued to decline, with foam and cable materials officially experiencing an inversion last week. The price difference between foam and cable materials has been compressed, leaving very limited profit margins. Last week, film negotiating prices have been adjusted downward, and transaction prices are about to decrease. In terms of inventory, film inventory is being reduced. Overall, resin and film may continue to experience a destocking phase for some time, but both time and space are limited. The market remained sluggish last week, with uncertainty about June prices and production plans still affecting companies' production plans.

PV Glass: Last week, PV glass prices remained stable, with prices expected to decrease in June. The price for 2.0mm single-layer coated glass is 17.5-18.5 yuan/square meter, and for 3.2mm single-layer coated glass, it is 26.0-27.0 yuan/square meter. The mainstream transaction prices are 18.0 and 26.5 yuan/square meter, respectively. At the end of May, domestic glass market transactions were few, and recent company inventories have been rising while module demand has slightly weakened. Domestic glass prices are expected to decrease in June.

High-purity Quartz Sand: Last week, high-purity quartz sand prices slightly decreased. Currently, the prices for domestic inner layer sand are 170,000-190,000 yuan/mt, for middle layer sand are 90,000-120,000 yuan/mt, and for outer layer sand are 24,000-50,000 yuan/mt, with prices dropping nearly 20,000 yuan/mt. After previous quotations from sand companies, downstream crucible companies made appropriate purchases, but order volumes were not good. With expected new capacity continuing to increase, sand companies made slight concessions in transactions last week, leading to a slight price decline. Prices are expected to remain weak and stable in the future.

Solar Inverter: Last week, the price range for inverters was 0.12-0.18 yuan/W for 20kw, 0.12-0.17 yuan/W for 50kw, and 0.11-0.16 yuan/W for 110kw. Due to the demand for PV in countries such as the Middle East, Africa, and India, production capacity and supply have increased, and leading companies have full orders on hand. Domestic demand is stabilizing, and the demand for centralized inverters is rising slowly.

Declaração sobre a Fonte de Dados: Com exceção das informações publicamente disponíveis, todos os demais dados são processados pela SMM com base em informações publicamente disponíveis, comunicação de mercado e com base no modelo de base de dados interna da SMM. São apenas para referência e não constituem recomendações para a tomada de decisão.

Para quaisquer perguntas ou para obter mais informações, entre em contato: lemonzhao@smm.cn
Para mais informações sobre como aceder aos nossos relatórios de investigação, entre em contato:service.en@smm.cn
Notícias Relacionadas
[Preços de módulos fotovoltaicos distribuídos continuam a divergir]
há 3 horas
[Preços de módulos fotovoltaicos distribuídos continuam a divergir]
Leia mais
[Preços de módulos fotovoltaicos distribuídos continuam a divergir]
[Preços de módulos fotovoltaicos distribuídos continuam a divergir]
Os preços distribuídos permaneceram divergentes hoje, com algumas empresas especializadas em módulos continuando a captar pedidos a preços baixos, enquanto os principais produtores integrados mantiveram, em grande parte, suas cotações inalteradas devido à pressão de custos. No curto prazo, espera-se que as empresas a montante e a jusante continuem a negociar preços, com a tendência geral mostrando uma ligeira estabilização. Hoje, o preço dos módulos distribuídos 210R situou-se em 0,714-0,726 yuan/W, temporariamente estável.
há 3 horas
[Produtores de primeira linha ainda negociam preços de vidro fotovoltaico]
há 3 horas
[Produtores de primeira linha ainda negociam preços de vidro fotovoltaico]
Leia mais
[Produtores de primeira linha ainda negociam preços de vidro fotovoltaico]
[Produtores de primeira linha ainda negociam preços de vidro fotovoltaico]
Os preços do vidro na China permaneceram temporariamente estáveis hoje, com as empresas negociando com os produtores de módulos a jusante com base nos resultados de preços definidos no início do mês. O centro de preços para as transações de vidro concluídas até agora é de 10-10,3 yuan/m², enquanto os principais produtores de módulos ainda estão barganhando, com expectativas de nível de preço psicológico abaixo de 10 yuan/m².
há 3 horas
[Solar: Bangladesh introduz tarifa de US$ 0,086/kWh para energia solar em telhados com medição líquida e meta de 5 GW]
há 5 horas
[Solar: Bangladesh introduz tarifa de US$ 0,086/kWh para energia solar em telhados com medição líquida e meta de 5 GW]
Leia mais
[Solar: Bangladesh introduz tarifa de US$ 0,086/kWh para energia solar em telhados com medição líquida e meta de 5 GW]
[Solar: Bangladesh introduz tarifa de US$ 0,086/kWh para energia solar em telhados com medição líquida e meta de 5 GW]
A Divisão de Energia de Bangladesh anunciou uma tarifa de BDT 10,50 (US$ 0,086)/kWh para o excedente de eletricidade de sistemas solares de telhado elegíveis sob o regime de medição líquida do país, válida por três anos até 28 de fevereiro de 2030. O custo máximo de geração para sistemas solares de telhado com armazenamento em bateria foi fixado em BDT 8/kWh, com o governo adicionando uma margem de lucro de 20% e um prêmio de 11,25%. Sistemas instalados até 28 de fevereiro de 2027, qualificados sob as Diretrizes de Medição Líquida de 2025, são elegíveis para a tarifa de incentivo. O governo pretende instalar pelo menos 5 GW de capacidade solar por meio da medição líquida até o próximo verão para ajudar a resolver déficits diários de energia superiores a 3 GW durante o pico de demanda do verão.
há 5 horas
Polysilicon Production Significantly Reduced in June, Upstream PV Products Price Decline Slows Down - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)