LME copper prices opened at $8326/mt and closed at $8380/mt in last Friday evening trading, a rise of 0.82%, with the low-end of $8301.5/mt and the high-end of $8391.5/mt. Trading volume was 18,000 lots, and open interest stood at 277,000 lots. The most active SHFE 2403 copper contract prices opened at 68000 yuan/mt and closed at 67900 yuan/mt last Friday evening, up 0.4%, with the high-end of 68080 yuan/mt and the low-end of 67810 yuan/mt. Trading volumes stood at 20,000 lots and open interest stood at 149,000 lots. On the macro front, the one-year U.S. inflation rate in January is expected to be 2.9%. Interest rate swap contracts show that the Federal Reserve's expectations for an interest rate cut in March have further dropped to 40%. The hawkish speeches of Federal Reserve officials will also hit copper prices. On the fundamentals, as of January 19, SMM copper inventories in major Chinese markets decreased 2,300 mt to 75,400 mt from last Monday, up 3,400 mt from the two Fridays ago. In terms of consumption, the downstream buyers replenished cargoes at lows in the off-season. It is expected that the downstream will gradually start pre-holiday stockpiling this week, and the oversupply situation may improve. The premium will rise slightly. The copper prices will meet resistance due to depressed expectations over Fed rate cuts.

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