Deutsche Bank Sees Higher Aluminum Price on Tighter Supply

Published: Sep 14, 2017 15:08
Deutsche Bank sees higher aluminum price next year since supply will turn tight.

SHANGHAI, Sept. 14 (SMM) – Deutsche Bank sees higher aluminum price next year since supply will turn tight.

China Aluminum Stocks Return to Growth after Brief Drop, SMM Says

Global aluminum supply will turn into a deficit from H2 2017 to 2019 along with capacity cuts in China and discipline by overseas producers. 

NBS: China August Aluminum Output Hits Lowest since April 2016

The bank raised forecast for next year’s aluminum prices by 12% to¢94/lb and expects aluminum prices to be well supported before winter cuts in China come to an end in March 2018.    

The article is edited by SMM and is provided for information purpose only. SMM assumes no liability and does not warrant the accuracy, reliability or completeness of information contained or quoted in the article, either express or implied. SMM further disclaims any liability for losses in connection with the information contained or quoted in the article.

For news cooperation, please contact us by email: sallyzhang@smm.cn or service.en@smm.cn.
 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
[SMM News Flash] Iranian Media Confirmed US Military Opened Fire; Earlier Revolutionary Guards Confronted US Oil Tanker
20 mins ago
[SMM News Flash] Iranian Media Confirmed US Military Opened Fire; Earlier Revolutionary Guards Confronted US Oil Tanker
Read More
[SMM News Flash] Iranian Media Confirmed US Military Opened Fire; Earlier Revolutionary Guards Confronted US Oil Tanker
[SMM News Flash] Iranian Media Confirmed US Military Opened Fire; Earlier Revolutionary Guards Confronted US Oil Tanker
On May 28, according to Iran's Tasnim News Agency citing a military source, US forces opened fire in the Bandar Abbas area near the Strait of Hormuz in Iran, after Iran's Revolutionary Guards confronted a US oil tanker attempting to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. There were no reports of casualties or losses so far.
20 mins ago
Secondary Aluminum Alloy Inventory Rises for 7th Week, But Pace May Slow Due to Tight Scrap Supply
26 mins ago
Secondary Aluminum Alloy Inventory Rises for 7th Week, But Pace May Slow Due to Tight Scrap Supply
Read More
Secondary Aluminum Alloy Inventory Rises for 7th Week, But Pace May Slow Due to Tight Scrap Supply
Secondary Aluminum Alloy Inventory Rises for 7th Week, But Pace May Slow Due to Tight Scrap Supply
[SMM Aluminum Update] According to SMM statistics, as of Thursday this week, the social inventory of secondary aluminum alloy ingots in China's major consumption regions stood at 62,900 mt, up 2,200 mt WoW, marking seven consecutive weeks of inventory buildup, mainly dragged down by weak downstream demand. However, compliant aluminum scrap sources remained tight at this stage, and restricted raw material procurement led enterprises to cut production. The production side prioritized aluminum liquid and long-term contract deliveries, and alloy ingot output was expected to pull back further. The pace of subsequent inventory buildup was expected to slow down, and if source tightness intensified, inventory could shift into a destocking phase.
26 mins ago
East China Market Trading Active With Prices Rising, Central China Purchasing Sentiment Rebounding [SMM Spot Aluminum Midday Review]
36 mins ago
East China Market Trading Active With Prices Rising, Central China Purchasing Sentiment Rebounding [SMM Spot Aluminum Midday Review]
Read More
East China Market Trading Active With Prices Rising, Central China Purchasing Sentiment Rebounding [SMM Spot Aluminum Midday Review]
East China Market Trading Active With Prices Rising, Central China Purchasing Sentiment Rebounding [SMM Spot Aluminum Midday Review]
36 mins ago