[SMM Cobalt Morning Meeting Summary] Market prices rebound, fundamentals under pressure, supply-demand tug-of-war continues to intensify
Market sentiment along the industry chain recovered somewhat this week, but supply-demand fundamentals remained weak. Refined metal prices rebounded from around 200,000 yuan/mt, peaking at 238,000 yuan/mt before pulling back to consolidate, with production recovery and expectations of inventory buildup capping the uptrend. The price center for intermediate products edged lower, and the price spread between buyers and sellers persisted. Sulphate offers rebounded to 43,000-45,000 yuan/mt, but downstream purchase willingness was insufficient. Co3O4 and metal powder prices gradually stabilized, with limited improvement in actual transactions. Affected by weak end-use demand, ternary cathode precursors and cathode materials continued to trend lower, and enterprises became more cautious in their production schedules. In the short term, the market still faces multiple pressures from supply growth, slow inventory digestion, and insufficient demand, and the sustainability of the price rebound remains to be verified.