Sellers' willingness to concede profits weakens; spot copper premiums in North China hold steady [SMM North China Spot Copper]

Published: Oct 22, 2026 11:30 (GMT+8)
Spot #1 copper cathode in North China was quoted at premiums of 180-340 yuan/mt against the front-month contract today, with an average premium of 260 yuan/mt, unchanged from the previous trading day. The average transaction price was 109,280 yuan/mt, down 855 yuan/mt from the previous trading day.

SMM News on October 22:

Today, in North China, spot premiums for #1 copper cathode against the front-month contract were reported at a premium of 180 to a premium of 340 yuan/mt, with the average premium at 260 yuan/mt unchanged from the previous trading day. The average transaction price was 109,280 yuan/mt, down 855 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Futures drifted lower in consolidation, while downstream procurement pace remained steady; suppliers’ willingness to sell at low prices weakened somewhat, trading in the market was subdued, and transactions were mainly driven by rigid demand, with North China spot premiums stabilizing accordingly. Today, in North China, the procurement sentiment for copper cathode was 1.74, down 0.01 from the previous trading day, and the selling sentiment was 2.87, down 0.08 from the previous trading day. ().

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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[SMM Shanghai Spot Copper] Looking ahead to tomorrow, SMM recorded social inventory in Shanghai at 51,100 mt, down 8,200 mt WoW; social inventory in Jiangsu stood at 21,200 mt, down 2,000 mt WoW. Regional inventory continued to destock, reflecting relatively limited arrivals in the market recently. On the demand side, some downstream processing enterprises still made just-in-time procurement during the day, but with spot premiums and the backwardation in the next-month spread both staying at relatively high levels, downstream comprehensive procurement costs remained elevated, which continued to constrain their ability to absorb spot cargoes. On the supply side, although some domestic cargoes have arrived gradually recently, the overall growth was relatively limited. In addition, affected by typhoon expectations, some ports reported that vessels have already taken shelter measures, and the pace of imported copper arrivals at ports may be disrupted in the short term, with some cargoes likely to be delayed. Overall, low inventory and slow import replenishment are expected to continue supporting spot premiums, but the high premium and high backwardation structure will continue to limit downstream purchasing enthusiasm. Shanghai spot premiums are expected to continue to consolidate at highs tomorrow, with further upside likely to be relatively limited.
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