[Will Post-Holiday Supply Recovery and Weak Demand Pressure China's Lead Ingot Market?]

Published: Oct 15, 2026 18:47 (GMT+8)
In mid-October, China's lead ingot market saw a cautious recovery in supply while downstream demand remained persistently soft, with the market characterized by low inventories, tight raw material availability and a wait-and-see stance among buyers. After the holiday, smelters ramped up production while downstream battery makers prioritized inventory drawdown over active replenishment. Supply-side recovery remained constrained. Native lead ingot smelters in Central and North China completed maintenance and resumed operations by late September, lifting the comprehensive operating rate, but actual output gains were limited. Weekly native lead ingot output recovered but remained below the first-half average due to tight concentrate supply and low processing fees. On the secondary lead side, a large smelter in East China was expected to resume production in October.

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In mid-October, China's lead ingot market entered a phase of cautious supply recovery while downstream demand remained persistently soft, characterized by low inventories, tight raw material supply and a wait-and-see stance among buyers. Post-holiday supply is returning while consumption lags, with smelters ramping up production and downstream battery makers prioritizing inventory drawdown over active replenishment. Supply-side recovery remains constrained: primary lead smelters in Central and North China completed maintenance and resumed operations by late September, lifting the comprehensive operating rate, but actual output gains were limited. Due to tight concentrate supply and low processing fees, weekly primary lead output has recovered but remains below the first-half average. On the secondary lead side, a large smelter in East China was expected to resume production in October.
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