Australia's PLS Group is bullish on the lithium price outlook and is nearing a Final Investment Decision on doubling capacity at its Pilgangoora spodumene operation in Western Australia. CEO Dale Henderson said the P2000 expansion study will be released in the quarter ending December, targeting a doubling of output to 2.0 million tons per year. PLS posted a full-year net profit of A$526 million (US$377 million) for the 12 months to June 30, reversing a prior-year loss, though the result fell short of expectations. Henderson described the current environment as "the next part of the cycle," citing strong demand against constrained supply. Shares rose as much as 8.1% in Sydney on the results. The company said organic expansion remains the priority over dealmaking for now.
SMM View: A confirmed FID on P2000 would mark one of the clearest supply-side signals of this cycle, and its downstream effect on grade differentials is the part the earnings release doesn't cover. As SC6 volumes potentially double out of Western Australia, the pricing relationship between Australian and African concentrate SC5.5 and SC5.0 grades moving CIF into China is where the real adjustment will show up first, likely well ahead of any public data catching up. SMM continues to track how offtake counterparties are positioning ahead of this decision and welcomes perspective from traders and converters active in these corridors.

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