Suppliers' Willingness to Sell Cools down, North China Spot Premiums Edge up [SMM North China Spot Copper]

Published: Jul 30, 2026 11:53
Today in North China, spot #1 copper cathode against the front-month contract was quoted at premiums ranging from 40 yuan/mt to 140 yuan/mt, with an average premium of 90 yuan/mt, up 5 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. The average transaction price was 105,350 yuan/mt, up 315 yuan/mt from the previous trading day.

SMM July 30:

In North China today, spot #1 copper cathode against the front-month contract was quoted at premiums of 40-140 yuan/mt, with an average premium of 90 yuan/mt, up 5 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. The average transaction price was 105,350 yuan/mt, up 315 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. The market was in the traditional demand off-season, downstream demand remained sluggish, and purchasing sentiment continued to weaken. Copper prices stayed high, coupled with sluggish end-user purchasing, leading to a pullback in suppliers' willingness to sell, which edged up spot premiums in North China. Purchasing sentiment for copper cathode in North China was 1.39 today, down 0.02 from the previous trading day, and shipment sentiment was 2.73, down 0.16 from the previous trading day ().

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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[SMM Shanghai Spot Copper] Tomorrow, with month-end approaching, downstream enterprises are expected to still primarily purchase based on rigid demand. The slight intraday uptick in SHFE copper prices today dampened market purchasing sentiment, and spot trading activity tomorrow is likely to decline compared with the previous trading day. According to SMM, current downstream purchase willingness is largely concentrated at premiums below 200 yuan/mt, with a significant psychological price gap between buyers and sellers. Suppliers may continue to lower offers to facilitate deals. Low-priced non-registered copper, due to its wide price spread with registered copper, has seen relatively decent transactions for some cargoes, but its boosting effect on overall demand is limited. As for inventory, SMM recorded social inventory in Shanghai at 69,500 mt, down 500 mt WoW from Monday; social inventory in Jiangsu at 21,200 mt, down 500 mt WoW from Monday. East China inventory saw slight destocking, still providing some support for spot premiums. However, the current decline in inventory is relatively limited, and offers for cargoes with invoices dated next month are relatively ample. Overall, against the backdrop of low inventory providing support, but weakening month-end consumption and strong downstream desire to bargain down prices, spot Shanghai copper prices against the SHFE copper 2608 contract are expected to maintain a premium tomorrow, but the overall center may continue to shift slightly lower.
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Suppliers' Willingness to Sell Cools down, North China Spot Premiums Edge up [SMM North China Spot Copper] - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)