Weak Downstream Demand Recovery Momentum, North China Premiums Slightly Recover [SMM North China Spot Copper]

Published: Jul 28, 2026 11:36
Today, spot #1 copper cathode in North China against the front-month contract was quoted at premiums ranging from 40 yuan/mt to 150 yuan/mt, with the average premium at 95 yuan/mt, down 25 yuan/mt from the previous trading day; the average transaction price was 105,060 yuan/mt, down 320 yuan/mt from the previous trading day.

SMM July 28 Report:

Today in North China, spot #1 copper cathode prices against the front-month contract were reported with an average premium ranging from 40 yuan/mt to 150 yuan/mt, averaging 95 yuan/mt, down 25 yuan/mt from the previous trading day, and the average transaction price was 105,060 yuan/mt, down 320 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Futures saw a slight correction, with only a small amount of rigid demand released downstream, and overall demand improvement was limited; suppliers' willingness to sell remained basically stable, while market transactions recovered slightly, driving a slight recovery in spot premiums in North China. Today, the purchasing sentiment for copper cathode in North China was 1.44, increased by 0.02 from the previous trading day, and the shipment sentiment was 2.87, decreased by 0.01 ().

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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[SMM Shanghai Spot Copper] Looking ahead to tomorrow, SHFE copper prices pulled back during the day, triggering a slight release of dip-buying inquiries and purchases from some downstream consumers. Buying sentiment in the Shanghai region improved from the previous trading day. However, according to SMM, current end-user orders are still mostly concentrated around 104,500 yuan/mt, and transaction prices for spot cargoes remain some distance away from downstream psychological price levels, leaving actual demand growth relatively limited. With month-end approaching, some buyers still need to restock cargoes with invoices dated this month. Supply of such cargoes is relatively tight, providing some support for their quotes. In comparison, the market for cargoes with invoices dated next month is more abundant, and suppliers show a strong willingness to sell. The price spread between current-month and next-month invoice cargoes is expected to persist. Overall, against the backdrop of copper price pullback driving dip-buying, demand for current-month invoice cargoes providing support, but only limited improvement in end-use consumption, Shanghai spot copper prices against the 2608 contract are expected to remain at a premium tomorrow, with the overall center likely to move sideways around the current level.
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Weak Downstream Demand Recovery Momentum, North China Premiums Slightly Recover [SMM North China Spot Copper] - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)