Supply Tight, Cargo Hard to Find; Shanghai Spot Copper Premiums Remain Strong [SMM Shanghai Spot Copper]

Published: Jul 17, 2026 15:01

Save

[SMM Shanghai spot copper] Tomorrow, the currently available spot copper remains tight, at a year-to-date low, and the inventory destocking trend remains unchanged. Moreover, the backwardation structure has widened. Intraday, suppliers continued to raise their quotes, showing a strong willingness to hold prices firm. Overall, under the combined influence of tight available supply, suppliers holding prices firm, and downstream just-in-time procurement, SHFE copper spot prices against the 2608 contract next Monday are expected to maintain a premium, with the overall premium center continuing to rise.

SMM, July 17:

Today, SMM #1 copper cathode spot prices against the current-month 2608 contract were quoted at a premium of 300-400 yuan/mt, with an average premium of 350 yuan/mt, up 350 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. In early trading, the SHFE copper 2608 contract showed a pattern of falling, stabilizing, and rebounding. It opened at 103,920 yuan/mt, then continued to weaken and dipped to a session low of 103,390 yuan/mt, before steadying and rising to close at 103,710 yuan/mt. The front-month to next-month backwardation spread ranged from 120 yuan/mt to 180 yuan/mt, while the SHFE copper import profit margin for the 2608 contract stood at a loss of 190-250 yuan/mt.

Intraday, Shanghai copper cathode sales sentiment was 3.09, up 0.07 from the previous day, and procurement sentiment was 3.22, up 0.52 from the previous day. Historical data can be found in the database. At the start of early trading, supplier offers were quite varied: some suppliers quoted Dajiang PC at a premium of 330 yuan/mt, while Zhongjin, Tiefeng, OLYDA, and others were offered at premiums of 360-380 yuan/mt, and JCC, Lufang, etc., at a premium of 400 yuan/mt. After cheap cargoes were quickly taken, standard-quality copper was generally offered at premiums of 350-400 yuan/mt. High-quality copper brands such as Jinchuan (plate), Jintun plate, and Guixi were offered at premiums of 400-430 yuan/mt. In the second period, available spot cargoes tightened further, and suppliers raised their offers further. Cargoes at a premium of 370 yuan/mt were hard to find, with standard-quality copper mostly offered at premiums of 380-420 yuan/mt. Non-registered copper traded at premiums of 200-250 yuan/mt.

Looking ahead to tomorrow, available spot cargoes remain tight, hovering at low levels for the year, and the destocking trend persists. Coupled with a widening backwardation structure, suppliers have been raising quotes continuously intraday, showing a strong willingness to hold prices firm. Overall, given tight spot availability, firm supplier pricing, and downstream just-in-time procurement, spot prices against the SHFE copper 2608 contract are expected to remain at a premium next Monday, with the overall premium center continuing to rise.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn

For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn

Related News

23 mins ago

Price Difference Between Copper Cathode and Copper Scrap Widens by Over 2,000 Yuan, Spurring Arbitrage Purchases to Dominate Transactions [SMM Analysis]

[SMM Analysis: Price Spread Between Copper Cathode and Copper Scrap Widens by Over 2,000 Yuan, Driving Dominance of Hedging-Based Procurement] This week (July 13 – July 16), the copper scrap market operated under a triple framework of retreat after rapid rise in copper prices, ongoing compliance constraints from reverse invoicing, and intensifying high-temperature off-season. The most-traded SHFE copper contract surged to 105,020 yuan/mt mid-week, gaining nearly 2,000 yuan/mt for the full week compared to the start of the week. However, copper scrap was supported by compliance costs and suppliers holding prices firm, with full-week price fluctuations of less than 1,000 yuan/mt. The price spread between copper cathode and copper scrap widened from 2,445 yuan/mt at the start of the week to 3,923 yuan/mt, a WoW increase of over 2,200 yuan/mt, entirely driven by the unilateral rise in copper cathode prices. The resilience of copper scrap itself was the key supply-side feature this week, which directly gave rise to hedging-based procurement demand from secondary copper rod enterprises.....

23 mins ago

34 mins ago

Copper Prices Rise, Suppressing Orders; Wire and Cable Operating Rate Falls to 68.96%

This week (July 10 – July 16), SMM copper wire and cable enterprise operating rate was 68.96%, down 1.88 percentage points MoM and down 3.94 percentage points YoY. Industry production load continued to weaken. During the week, copper prices continued to rise, suppressing downstream willingness to sign new orders. Coupled with the traditional consumption off-season, overall end-use demand was weak, and overall order performance in the market was mediocre. Demand in sub-sectors generally lacked highlights, with only orders from State Grid released steadily. The rise in copper prices drove some rush-to-buy replenishment retail orders from end-users, providing bottom support for this week's operating rate.

34 mins ago

35 mins ago

Copper Price Surge Slows Wire and Cable Inventory Build, Raw Material Stocks Down 3.13% MoM

SMM copper wire and cable enterprise inventory this week, affected by high copper prices and the price spread between futures contracts, wire and cable enterprises' willingness to stockpile raw materials remained sluggish, with raw material inventories falling 3.13% MoM. The rise in copper prices stimulated downstream end-users to rush to pick up goods amid the price rise, leading end-users to concentrate on consuming their existing finished product inventories, which fell 1.89% MoM.

35 mins ago