SMM, July 1:
On July 1, the spot price of titanium dioxide in China fell for a second consecutive day, with the spot market and the secondary market showing a clear divergence. After an earlier correction, the titanium dioxide concept sector rallied for two straight days. As of the market close that day, the titanium dioxide concept index rose 4.85%, with individual stocks performing strongly: Jinputai Titanium hit the daily limit up, while Guocheng Mining, Anning Co., Zhenhua Chemical, and Vanadium Titanium Co. all gained over 6%. The spot market weakness reflects subdued downstream procurement sentiment in China, but capital in the stock market is trading on the logic of forward-looking improvement repair: expectations of tightening supply in July due to production cuts and maintenance, the realization of overseas price hikes, low downstream inventory restocking expectations together provided support, while some market capital inflows helped lift the entire sector.
Spot Market
Spot market side, high-priced sulphuric acid raw materials provided rigid support for titanium dioxide prices, but downstream end-use demand continued to weaken, with thin trading sentiment in the market, and spot titanium dioxide offers fell for the second consecutive day. According to SMM data, on July 1, SMM quoted rutile titanium dioxide spot prices at 14,500–16,500 yuan/mt, with the average price reported at 15,500 yuan/mt, down 1.59% from the previous trading day. Compared with the average price of 13,500 yuan/mt on December 31, 2025, rutile titanium dioxide has risen by 2,000 yuan/mt this year, an increase of 14.81%.
Fundamental dimensions show a divergent picture between supply and demand: Supply side: June titanium dioxide production edged down MoM. Export side: According to customs data, China exported 152,800 mt of titanium dioxide in May 2026, down 21.05% MoM, with cumulative growth up 12.55% YoY.
Looking ahead, summer concentrated maintenance coupled with high production cost pressure are likely to lead to significant production cuts across the industry, tightening overall market supply. Demand side currently remains focused on destocking, and the wait-and-see sentiment downstream is unlikely to dissipate quickly amid a gradual spot price decline; however, raw material inventories in the coatings and plastics industries are low, with restocking expectations later on. On balance, the titanium dioxide market in July is highly likely to operate in a pattern of both weak supply and demand, with short-term prices expected to mainly move sideways.
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