[NPI Daily Review] NPI Cost-Effectiveness Weakens, Steel Mills Push for Lower Prices and Wait and See

Published: Jul 1, 2026 14:00
[SMM Daily Review: NPI Cost-Effectiveness Weakens, Steel Mills Push for Lower Prices and Wait-and-See] On July 1, SMM high-grade NPI upstream sentiment factor stood at 2.32, down 0.04 MoM, and high-grade NPI downstream sentiment factor was 1.74, down 0.02 MoM.

SMM July 1 News,

       July 1 News, SMM high-grade NPI market sentiment factor stood at 2.03, down 0.03 MoM, the upstream sentiment factor for high-grade NPI at 2.32, down 0.04 MoM, and the downstream sentiment factor for high-grade NPI at 1.74, down 0.02 MoM. Currently, NPI spot fundamentals remain in a tight balance, and suppliers' overall offers show resilience. However, the continuous weakening of futures keeps eroding NPI's price advantage, with the overall cost-effectiveness of high-grade NPI declining steadily. Even FeNi long-term contract prices have become more favorable than those of high-grade NPI, further dampening downstream purchase willingness. The trading atmosphere is extremely sluggish, with most traders opting to suspend fixed-price quoting and market wait-and-see sentiment running high. Overall, the spot tight balance can only underpin the market, unable to reverse the weak trading pattern. The supply-demand expectations mismatch is conspicuous, and in the short term, the market will continue its stagnant, wait-and-see state with sparse transactions.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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[NPI Daily Review] NPI Cost-Effectiveness Weakens, Steel Mills Push for Lower Prices and Wait and See - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)