China's Aluminum Wire Exports Surge 131.4% in May, Hitting 5-Year Record High【SMM Analysis】

June 25, 2026

Customs data showed that in May 2026, China’s aluminum wire exports totaled 63,850 mt, surging 131.4 percentage points MoM, a net increase of 36,260 mt from 27,590 mt in April. Monthly exports hit a new record high in nearly five years, far exceeding prior optimistic expectations. From January to May, China’s cumulative aluminum wire exports reached 170,600 mt, up 53.14% YoY from the same period in 2025.

Aluminum Stranded Wire (HS 76149000): Single-Month Shipments Top 50,000 mt, Far Exceeding Expectations
Exports under HS code 76149000 (stranded aluminum wire, not containing any steel core) were 50,224 mt in May, surging 222.7% MoM, a net increase of 34,659 mt from April's 15,565 mt. This result significantly exceeded the optimistic forecasts from the April analysis, with actual exports reaching 2.5 times the expected level. The share of pure aluminum stranded wire in total aluminum wire exports climbed further to 78.7% from 56.4% in April, marking a second consecutive month above the 50% threshold and indicating sustained stronger-than-expected demand outside China. The core drivers behind the surge in pure aluminum stranded wire exports were: first, the SHFE/LME aluminum price ratio remained elevated for an extended period, with overseas aluminum prices trading at a significant premium over domestic prices, which kept the export profit window open for a long time and encouraged traders to place concentrated orders; second, orders locked in earlier (March-April) based on the price spread between Chinese and overseas markets were cleared through customs en masse in May, creating a pulse-like spike in monthly export volumes.

Aluminum Conductor Steel Reinforced (HS 76141000): Mild MoM Rebound to 13,600 mt
Exports under HS code 76141000 (aluminum conductor steel reinforced) were 13,627 mt in May, up 13.3% MoM, a net increase of 1,603 mt from 12,024 mt in April. After the pullback that followed the March peak (18,162 mt), a mild rebound materialized in May. ACSR’s share of exports narrowed further to 21.3% from 43.6% in April, mainly because the massive expansion in pure aluminum stranded wire shipments shifted the proportions, while ACSR export volumes themselves remained relatively stable.

Analysis of export destinations for pure aluminum stranded wire: East Asia's share jumped to the top, South Korea imported 17,800 mt in a single month

Compared with April, the regional structure underwent significant changes: the East Asia region surged from third place (24.6%) in April to first place (43.0%), driven mainly by South Korea's imports soaring from 2,911 mt in April to 17,797 mt (up 511.4% MoM); Southeast Asia remained in second place, but its share edged down from 33.1% to 31.4%; Africa's share fell from 30.6% to 21.6%, while absolute volume increased from 4,189 mt to 10,131 mt, up 142%. The top five countries by MoM volume increase were South Korea (+14,887 mt), Mozambique (+6,515 mt), Vietnam (+4,966 mt), Malaysia (+3,776 mt), and Japan (+1,886 mt), together accounting for 92.5% of the MoM increase in pure aluminum stranded wire exports. South Korea's performance was especially striking: its monthly imports leaped from less than 3,000 mt to nearly 18,000 mt, representing 37.5% of total pure aluminum stranded wire exports in May, instantly becoming the largest single export destination.

Export Province Rankings: Fujian, Jiangsu, and Shanghai Take the Top Three Spots
In May, exports of pure aluminum stranded wire were concentrated mainly in coastal provinces such as Fujian, Shanghai, and Zhejiang. Fujian Province topped the list with nearly 20,000 mt of exports, almost entirely pure aluminum stranded wire (99.7%), serving as the core contributor to the surge in pure aluminum exports in May. Jiangsu Province was the largest exporter of steel-cored aluminum stranded wire (8,009 mt), while also recording substantial pure aluminum exports.

 

Analysis of Export Destinations for Steel-Cored Aluminum Stranded Wire: Cambodia Tops the List, Saudi Arabia’s Surge

In May, steel-cored aluminum stranded wire was exported to a total of 20 countries and regions, with extremely high export concentration: the top 15 destinations accounted for 11,716 mt, representing 99.4% of total exports. Unlike the explosive growth of all-aluminum stranded wire, exports of steel-cored aluminum stranded wire rebounded mildly by 13.3% MoM, maintaining a generally stable pattern. Notably, Saudi Arabia saw exports jump from just 15 mt in April to 1,866 mt in May (up 12,313% MoM), surging to second place, likely driven by concentrated deliveries from power grid expansion projects in the Middle East. Cambodia has ranked among the top export destinations for steel-cored aluminum stranded wire for several months, and remained firmly in first place in May with 2,003 mt. 

SMM Outlook: June Exports Remain Supported, with Significant Pullback Risk from July Onward

Overall, aluminum wire exports hit a record 63,900 mt in May for a single month over the past five years, mainly driven by a concentrated surge in pure aluminum stranded wire during the window of favorable price spread between Chinese and overseas markets. However, recent industry feedback indicates that signals of an export turning point have already emerged.
Order side: According to SMM’s communication with overseas traders and Chinese aluminum wire and cable manufacturers, new export orders for aluminum stranded wire have plummeted recently. The main reason is that overseas aluminum prices have fallen successively, narrowing the SHFE/LME aluminum price ratio. The profit window that previously drove exports is closing rapidly, with losses already occurring in some periods. It is learned that new orders were already very scarce last week, and there have been almost no new export orders this week. The few new orders placed earlier were mainly arbitrage orders by traders who locked in the price spread between Chinese and overseas markets in advance.
Production schedule side: In terms of the export pace, enterprises in June are mainly producing previously scheduled orders, and orders on hand are sufficient to cover the entire month. June aluminum wire exports are expected to remain at the May level or edge up slightly, with limited downside room MoM. From July onward, as previously locked-in orders are gradually delivered, the impact of the gap in new orders will become apparent, and pure aluminum stranded wire exports are likely to decline significantly. If the SHFE/LME aluminum price ratio and the price spread between Chinese and overseas markets show no significant improvement in August-September, aluminum wire exports are expected to pull back to the level before the profit window opened.