Today, SMM's 10:00 am Ag (T+D) price on the Shanghai Gold Exchange was 13,816 yuan/kg, with premiums quoted in the range of parity against TD to +20 yuan/kg, averaging +10 yuan/kg, unchanged from the previous trading day.
On the macro front, US Treasury Secretary Bessent's remarks about Iran and Venezuela returning to the US dollar system further reinforced expectations for the dollar’s status as an international reserve currency. Combined with the market’s repricing of the Fed’s hawkish stance, the US dollar index strengthened significantly, exerting temporary pressure on precious metals. Major foreign investment banks all raised their expectations for Fed rate hikes in their latest reports, and precious metals faced interest rate headwinds, tumbling sharply.
Spot market side, after silver continued to decline, downstream consumption recovered somewhat. Morning quotes in Shanghai were mainly in the range of parity against TD to +20 yuan/kg. Trader quotes leaned toward the higher end, while downstream enterprises negotiated and purchased, with deals leaning toward the lower end. Some suppliers had limited willingness to sell at month-end. Low-priced supplies in other regions were largely cleared out, and quotes in Shenzhen were mostly around a premium of 10 yuan/kg against TD. Today, the market’s premium/discount quote against the most-traded SHFE 2608 contract remained at a discount of around 30 yuan/kg. Overall, the spot silver market premium has been relatively stable recently, and transactions have recovered somewhat as absolute prices continued to decline. The precious metals futures remain under macro pressure in the short term.
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