[SMM Aluminum Market Flash] SMM VP Wang: Indonesia Aluminum Mirrors Nickel's Path, A Decade Behind, Full Chain by 2036
At the 2026 SMM Indonesia Critical Minerals Conference, SMM VP Shirley Wang said Indonesia's aluminum industry is following nickel's trajectory roughly a decade behind: raw bauxite exporter in 2014, Chinese-backed smelting expansion using nickel's existing infrastructure in 2026, and a fully integrated domestic cluster with recycling targeted by 2036. Nickel's pre-built power grids, deepwater ports, and industrial parks have compressed aluminum project timelines from 5-7 years to 1-2 years. Electrolytic aluminum generates ~36x more gross profit per MWh than NPI, making it the priority dispatch choice under grid constraints. Globally, Africa holds the bauxite, Asia concentrates alumina, and smelting is geographically distributed with no single country dominant.