Rhodium Prices Plunge 10% in 10 Days as Market Shifts from Shortage to Surplus Expectations

[SMM PGM Express] African Rainbow Minerals (ARM) has approved nearly USD 1 billion in investment to redevelop South Africa’s Bokoni platinum mine, signalling renewed confidence in the long-term outlook for platinum amid improving prices and tightening supply conditions. The company plans to invest approximately USD 927 million in a phased redevelopment of Bokoni, which is expected to become a significant source of platinum group metals (PGMs). Once fully operational, the mine is projected to produce around 350,000–400,000 ounces of six-element PGMs annually, strengthening South Africa’s platinum supply base. The investment comes as the global platinum market continues to face supply challenges. South Africa remains the dominant producer of platinum, but rising operating costs, power constraints and previous periods of weak prices have led to mine closures, production cuts and delayed projects. Recent improvements in platinum prices have encouraged producers to reconsider previously deferred investments.

[SMM Express] NYMEX July palladium futures settled at USD 1,255.30/oz on 23 July, reflecting continued weakness in the palladium market amid cautious industrial demand and softer sentiment across precious metals. Despite the recent decline, palladium's market fundamentals remain closely linked to industrial consumption. More than half of global demand is driven by the automotive sector, where the metal is used in catalytic converters to reduce vehicle emissions. Additional demand from electronics, jewellery and chemical applications continues to provide underlying support. On the supply side, global production remains concentrated in Russia and South Africa, with comparatively limited output from Canada. Operational challenges, including power supply constraints and labour-related disruptions in South Africa, continue to pose potential supply risks.