[SMM Analysis] Futures Weakened with Rigid Demand Providing Support, Stainless Steel Social Inventory Slightly Destocking

Published: May 14, 2026 17:35
[SMM Analysis: Futures in the Doldrums with Rigid Demand Providing Support, Stainless Steel Social Inventory Saw Mild Destocking] On May 14, SMM reported that stainless steel social inventory continued its mild destocking trend this week. Total inventory across the two core markets of Wuxi and Foshan pulled back slightly, dropping from 955,200 mt on May 7, 2026 to 947,100 mt on May 14, down 0.85% WoW, showing mild destocking characteristics. SS futures were in the doldrums this week. On Thursday, SS futures dropped sharply due to uncertainties surrounding the Fed Chairman transition policy, putting macro sentiment under pressure. However, the spot market showed strong resilience against declines, with stainless steel spot prices falling only narrowly and not following futures to swing wildly. Supply side, steel mills' earlier cargo distribution pace was relatively low, limiting market arrival pressure; traders were cautious in purchasing high-priced cargoes, and speculative purchasing willingness in the market remained weak. Demand side, rigid demand transactions in the market were moderate this week, with end-user rigid demand maintaining a steady pace to pick up goods, largely unaffected by the weak futures performance. Rigid demand resilience supported continued destocking, jointly driving social inventory to pull back slightly this week. Overall, despite futures being under pressure and ongoing macro uncertainties this week, firm spot prices, low steel mill arrivals, and resilient downstream rigid demand collectively drove mild inventory destocking. Currently, the high production schedule pattern at steel mills has not changed, supply-side pressure persists, and futures may maintain wild swings amid the uncertain macro environment. Combined with the traditional peak consumption season gradually...

 

SMM May 14 reported that stainless steel social inventory continued its mild destocking trend this week. Total inventory across the two core markets of Wuxi and Foshan pulled back slightly, declining from 955,200 mt on May 7, 2026 to 947,100 mt on May 14, down 0.85% WoW, exhibiting mild destocking characteristics.

SS futures were in the doldrums this week. On Thursday, uncertainty surrounding the Fed Chairman transition policy caused SS futures to drop sharply, putting macro sentiment under pressure. However, the spot market showed strong resistance to declines, with stainless steel spot prices falling only narrowly without following the wild swings in futures. Supply side, steel mills' earlier cargo distribution pace was relatively low, limiting market delivery pressure; traders remained cautious in purchasing high-priced cargoes, with weak speculative purchasing appetite. Demand side, rigid demand transactions in the market were moderate this week, with end-user rigid demand cargo pick-up pace remaining steady, largely unaffected by the weak futures performance. Rigid demand resilience supported continued inventory drawdown, collectively driving the slight pullback in social inventory this week. Overall, despite futures being under pressure and persistent macro uncertainties this week, firm spot prices, low steel mill deliveries, and resilient downstream rigid demand jointly drove the mild destocking. Currently, the high production schedule pattern at steel mills has not changed, supply-side pressure persists, and futures may maintain wild swings amid the uncertain macro environment. Combined with the traditional peak consumption season gradually approaching its end, whether downstream demand can sustain its current resilience remains to be observed. Short-term inventory is expected to maintain mild fluctuations, with subsequent focus needed on SS futures movement pace, steel mill delivery and distribution conditions, and the sustainability of downstream rigid demand.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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[SMM Analysis] Futures Weakened with Rigid Demand Providing Support, Stainless Steel Social Inventory Slightly Destocking - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)