[SMM Steel] EU carbon prices stay at €74-77/t in early May

Published: May 14, 2026 15:36
[SMM Steel] EU carbon allowance (EUA Dec-2026) prices remained at €74-77/t in early May, similar to late-April levels, with April average prices at €74.04/t, up 5.7% from March. The market was influenced by Middle East tensions, energy price volatility, and EU ETS policy revisions. The European Commission proposed updated EU ETS benchmarks for 2026-2030, with free allowances expected to cover around 75% of industrial emissions and potentially save industries €4 billion in carbon costs. Reuters surveys also showed analysts lowering 2026 carbon price forecasts to €80.61/t from €92.65/t previously.

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[Billet] Today, export billet quotations remained stable. Currently, mill quotes were on the high side, generally above $470/mt, while market tradable prices were mostly at $465-467/mt. Steel mills had a strong willingness to hold prices firm due to cost considerations, making it quite difficult to close export billet orders. [Rebar] Today, rebar export FOB quotations were basically stable. According to market feedback, recently, some steel mills, due to maintenance of blast furnaces and associated construction steel rolling lines, controlled the pace of taking rebar export orders. Meanwhile, wait-and-see sentiment among overseas clients was strong, leading to a noticeable shrinkage in overall export rebar orders. [Sheets & Plates] Today, export prices of HRC and other sheets & plates edged down day-on-day but held steady, with HRC transactions at $492-501/mt. Recently, due to declines in domestic futures and adjustments in the yuan exchange rate, some distant countries began to increase inquiry and purchasing demand. In terms of semi-finished products, short-term inquiry and purchasing willingness was low due to high domestic prices and the fact that overseas buyers had already made a certain amount of purchases earlier.
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[SMM Steel] EU carbon allowance (EUA Dec-2026) prices remained at €74- - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)