[SMM Imported Ore Daily Brief] Blast Furnace Impact from Maintenance Increased, Iron Ore Prices Edged Down

Published: May 12, 2026 16:54

On May 12, 2026, iron ore futures were in the doldrums, with the most-traded contract I2609 closing at 812.5 yuan/mt, down 0.98% from the previous trading session. Port spot prices fell 5-7 yuan from the previous trading day. Traders were relatively active in quoting; steel mills restocked on an as-needed basis; overall spot transactions were limited. Affected by fluctuations in the coking coal market, ferrous metals futures prices declined across the board today.

Fundamentals side, according to SMM survey results, the hot metal impact from blast furnace maintenance was 1.4075 million mt this week, up 25,000 mt WoW. The hot metal impact from blast furnace maintenance next week is expected to be 1.4045 million mt, down 3,000 mt WoW.

Iron ore demand weakened slightly this week, but no clear trend has formed yet overall. Even though steel mills were generally reluctant to purchase high-priced ore, robust end-use demand supported steel mill blast furnace operating rates and rigid demand for iron ore. Therefore, iron ore prices are expected to remain stable on the downside in the short term, and prices are expected to fluctuate at highs.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
【Firmer Coal Prices Prompt PTBA to Raise Output Target; H2 Production Must Reach 30.1 Mt to Meet Full-Year Plan】
39 mins ago
【Firmer Coal Prices Prompt PTBA to Raise Output Target; H2 Production Must Reach 30.1 Mt to Meet Full-Year Plan】
Read More
【Firmer Coal Prices Prompt PTBA to Raise Output Target; H2 Production Must Reach 30.1 Mt to Meet Full-Year Plan】
【Firmer Coal Prices Prompt PTBA to Raise Output Target; H2 Production Must Reach 30.1 Mt to Meet Full-Year Plan】
Indonesian state-owned coal producer PTBA has slightly raised its 2026 production target to 49.55 million tonnes from 49.5 million tonnes, while setting full-year sales and transportation targets at 49.51 million tonnes and 41 million tonnes, respectively. The production target was increased by only 50,000 tonnes, or approximately 0.1%, giving the adjustment itself very limited direct significance for market supply. More importantly, PTBA’s first-half production fell 10% year on year to 19.45 million tonnes. To meet its full-year target, the company must produce approximately 30.1 million tonnes in the second half, around 54.8% more than its first-half output. It must also sell about 28.41 million tonnes during the period, approximately 34.6% above first-half sales, meaning that the production recovery must be supported by sufficient transportation and sales capacity. PTBA’s second-quarter production increased 94% from the previous quarter, while sales rose 8%, indicating that operations had begun to recover. Its first-half average selling price increased 14% quarter on quarter and 10% year on year, helping revenue rise 8% to 22.03 trillion rupiah and net profit attributable to the parent increase 218% to 2.65 trillion rupiah. Stronger prices and profitability have increased the company’s incentive to raise production and sales. PTBA’s domestic sales fell 9% year on year to 10.77 million tonnes in the first half, while exports increased 5% to 10.33 million tonnes. The company also intends to strengthen export sales.
39 mins ago
【Sasol Plans to Cut External Coal Purchases in FY2027 and Raise Own-Mine Output to 34 Million Tons by 2028】
41 mins ago
【Sasol Plans to Cut External Coal Purchases in FY2027 and Raise Own-Mine Output to 34 Million Tons by 2028】
Read More
【Sasol Plans to Cut External Coal Purchases in FY2027 and Raise Own-Mine Output to 34 Million Tons by 2028】
【Sasol Plans to Cut External Coal Purchases in FY2027 and Raise Own-Mine Output to 34 Million Tons by 2028】
South Africa’s Sasol plans to increase investment in its own coal mines to secure feedstock for its Secunda Operations while reducing coal purchases from third-party suppliers. The company produced 28.4 million tons of coal from its own mines in FY2026 and expects this to increase to between 30 million and 32 million tons in FY2027, before rising further to 34 million tons by 2028. Meanwhile, Sasol expects its external coal purchases to decline from 8.8 million tons in FY2026 to between 5 million and 7 million tons in FY2027. This represents a reduction of between 1.8 million and 3.8 million tons, or approximately 20.5% to 43.2%. The change primarily reflects Sasol’s substitution of externally purchased coal with own-mine production and does not indicate an equivalent decline in its overall coal requirements. The company said that increasing the share of own-mine coal would help maintain consistent coal quality, secure feedstock supplies and improve cost competitiveness. Sasol invested R1 billion to convert the Twistdraai export-coal washing plant into a destoning facility. The facility is now delivering processed coal with sinks below 12%. Improved coal quality, higher gasifier availability and the absence of a shutdown in FY2026 collectively supported an increase in annual output at Secunda Operations to a five-year high of 7.2 million tons. With a scheduled shutdown planned for FY2027, the company expects the facility to produce between 7.2 million and 7.4 million tons during the year. Mining capital expenditure increased from R2.9 billion in FY2024 to R4.1 billion in FY2026 and is expected to rise by a further R1 billion to R1.5 billion in FY2027, including investment in a shaft-replacement project. In addition, Sasol is assessing the production of methane-rich gas from coal as a bridge supply for industrial customers that could face a gas supply shortage from 2028 onward. However, the project still requires greater long-term pricing certainty and further regulatory assessment, and the company has not yet made a final investment decision.
41 mins ago
【Sical Logistics Wins Five-Year Indian Mining Contract Covering About 9.1 Million Tonnes of Coal】
41 mins ago
【Sical Logistics Wins Five-Year Indian Mining Contract Covering About 9.1 Million Tonnes of Coal】
Read More
【Sical Logistics Wins Five-Year Indian Mining Contract Covering About 9.1 Million Tonnes of Coal】
【Sical Logistics Wins Five-Year Indian Mining Contract Covering About 9.1 Million Tonnes of Coal】
Indian integrated logistics and engineering services company Sical Logistics has secured a five-year mining contract worth approximately ₹5.3473 billion from Central Coalfields Limited for heavy earth-moving and mining operations at the SDOC Mine in Bokaro district, Jharkhand. The contract covers the re-handling of approximately 20.14 million cubic metres of overburden, the removal of around 33.65 million cubic metres of hard overburden, and the extraction of approximately 9.104 million tonnes of coal from a 143-hectare working area. The contract value includes an 18% goods and services tax, while the execution period is 1,825 days. A simple five-year average would place the contracted coal volume at approximately 1.82 million tonnes per year.
41 mins ago
Register to Continue Reading
Gain access to the latest insights in metals and new energy
Already have an account?Sign in here
[SMM Imported Ore Daily Brief] Blast Furnace Impact from Maintenance Increased, Iron Ore Prices Edged Down - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)