Mine-Side Disruption Concerns Persist, Intraday BC Copper Hovers at Highs [SMM BC Copper Commentary]

Published: May 11, 2026 19:14

Today, the most-traded BC copper contract 2606 opened at 92,910 yuan/mt, touching a low of 92,060 yuan/mt at the beginning of the session before the center fluctuated upward. It probed up to 92,930 yuan/mt near the close and ultimately settled at 92,820 yuan/mt, down 0.03%. Open interest stood at 9,532 lots, down 304 lots from the previous trading day, while trading volume was 8,379 lots, down 736 lots from the previous trading day. On the macro front, US April non-farm payrolls added 115,000 jobs, significantly exceeding market expectations. The unemployment rate remained stable, but the consumer confidence index fell to a new periodic low. Meanwhile, disturbed by concerns over ore-side shortages, copper prices exhibited a high-level fluctuating trend moving sideways. Fundamentals side, short-term import arrivals saw limited incremental volumes, domestic supply arrivals remained relatively low, and the supply landscape stayed tight. Demand side, downstream acceptance of high copper prices was limited, with procurement mainly driven by rigid demand and insufficient willingness to chase higher prices. As of Monday, May 11, SMM copper inventories across mainstream regions nationwide decreased by 10,300 mt WoW from after the holiday to 242,600 mt.

The SHFE copper 2606 contract closed at 104,620 yuan/mt. Based on the BC copper 2606 contract price of 92,820 yuan/mt, its after-tax price was 104,887 yuan/mt. The price spread between the SHFE copper 2606 contract and BC copper was -267 yuan/mt, showing an inversion that narrowed from the previous day.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Policy Shocks and High Copper Prices Disrupt Secondary Copper Rod Market in H1 2026
9 hours ago
Policy Shocks and High Copper Prices Disrupt Secondary Copper Rod Market in H1 2026
Read More
Policy Shocks and High Copper Prices Disrupt Secondary Copper Rod Market in H1 2026
Policy Shocks and High Copper Prices Disrupt Secondary Copper Rod Market in H1 2026
In H1 2026, the secondary copper rod market completely broke away from the traditional "copper price–supply and demand" pricing framework. It was primarily hit by the twin policy shocks of "reverse invoicing" moving from transitional review to full implementation and the clearance of local non-compliant fiscal and tax incentives and subsidies (Document No. 770)
9 hours ago
SMM Forecasts July 2026 Copper Foil Operating Rate and Shipments Both to Rise
Jul 10, 2026 22:15
SMM Forecasts July 2026 Copper Foil Operating Rate and Shipments Both to Rise
Read More
SMM Forecasts July 2026 Copper Foil Operating Rate and Shipments Both to Rise
SMM Forecasts July 2026 Copper Foil Operating Rate and Shipments Both to Rise
[SMM Copper Foil July Market Forecast] SMM expects the overall operating rate of copper foil enterprises in July 2026 to be 92.15%, up 0.67 percentage points MoM and 14.87 percentage points YoY. Overall shipments in July are expected to increase by 0.79% MoM. The operating rate for lithium battery copper foil is expected to be 91.1%, and for electronic circuit copper foil, 94.24%.
Jul 10, 2026 22:15
DRC's KCC Sealed and Production Halted by Tax Authorities!
Jul 10, 2026 20:03
DRC's KCC Sealed and Production Halted by Tax Authorities!
Read More
DRC's KCC Sealed and Production Halted by Tax Authorities!
DRC's KCC Sealed and Production Halted by Tax Authorities!
According to local media in the DRC on July 10, the country’s General Directorate of Taxes (DGI) sealed off some offices and facilities of Kamoto Copper Company (KCC) in Kolwezi, Lualaba Province, on July 9. The DGI stated that KCC is involved in a tax arrears situation of nearly $3 billion. The sealing action led to the evacuation of some personnel, and copper and cobalt production at the affected sites was temporarily suspended. The exact scope of the sealing, its duration, and the actual impact on the mine and smelting systems remain to be further confirmed. As SMM has learned, KCC’s copper cathode production over the past two years has been around 190,000 mt each year. If the sealing measures persist and materially affect production or product deliveries, it is expected to cause periodic disruptions to copper and cobalt supply from the DRC. Going forward, close attention should be paid to the resumption of KCC’s operations and the progress of the tax dispute resolution.
Jul 10, 2026 20:03
Register to Continue Reading
Gain access to the latest insights in metals and new energy
Already have an account?Sign in here
Mine-Side Disruption Concerns Persist, Intraday BC Copper Hovers at Highs [SMM BC Copper Commentary] - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)