Goldman Sachs Delays US Fed Rate Cut Expectations Amid Inflation and Energy Cost Pressures

Published: May 9, 2026 18:35

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Driven by the Middle East conflict pushing up energy costs and inflation persistently exceeding expectations, Goldman Sachs postponed the timing of the US Fed's next two interest rate cuts by one quarter each, and market expectations for monetary policy easing cooled again.Goldman Sachs US economists, in a report dated May 8, pushed back their expectations for the US Fed's next two interest rate cuts to December 2026 and March 2027, respectively, each delayed by one quarter from previous forecasts. Goldman Sachs believes that the pass-through effects of energy costs will keep core PCE inflation close to 3% throughout the year, well above the US Fed's 2% policy target, making conditions for interest rate cuts difficult to materialize.

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