Geopolitical Tensions Escalated Again, Lead Prices Under Pressure [Brief Comment on Lead Futures]

Published: Apr 9, 2026 18:07

SMM, April 9:

The most-traded SHFE lead 2605 contract opened at 16,760 yuan/mt during the session. SHFE lead prices dipped slightly at the beginning of the session, touching a low of 16,715 yuan/mt, before rebounding and stabilizing. Towards the end of the session, SHFE lead prices fluctuated around the daily average line, ultimately closing at 16,785 yuan/mt, recording a small bearish candlestick, down 15 yuan/mt or 0.09%. Overnight, the Lebanon-Israel conflict continued to escalate, hostile actions between Iran and Israel resumed, and Iranian media reported that the Strait of Hormuz had been fully closed. Combined with rising expectations for US Fed interest rate hikes, the non-ferrous metals sector was broadly under pressure during the session. Supply side, more enterprises resumed operations after the Qingming Festival and maintenance capacity gradually recovered, with both primary lead and secondary lead supply increasing slightly. Demand side, downstream enterprises only maintained just-in-time procurement, a few entities restocked on dips, while the rest primarily fulfilled long-term contracts, and spot order market transactions remained sluggish. In the short term, upward momentum for lead prices is insufficient, and prices are expected to move sideways.

Data source statement: Data other than publicly available information is derived from publicly available information, market communication, and SMM's internal database models, processed by SMM for reference only and does not constitute decision-making advice.

 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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