[SMM Sheets & Plates Daily Review] Futures Prices Maintain Fluctuating Trend, Attention on Raw Material Price Changes

Published: Apr 8, 2026 17:29
HRC futures first dipped then rallied today. The most-traded contract closed at 3,282, up 0.06% WoW. Spot market side, market quotations showed mixed performance, with overall trading activity being relatively lackluster, though transactions at lower prices were moderate. In terms of supply, the impact from maintenance on hot-rolled production was 106,400 mt this week, down 88,800 mt WoW. Next week, the impact from maintenance on hot-rolled production is expected to be 11.7 mt, up 10,600 mt WoW, with overall supply still on an increasing trend. Demand side, end-user purchasing enthusiasm was unlikely to exceed expectations, with most purchases being need-based at lower prices. Inventory side, mainstream city inventory data was released today. Performance varied across markets, but overall destocking outpaced inventory buildup, and the overall destocking trend is likely to continue. Looking ahead, the US-Iran conflict reportedly entered the final stage of detail finalisation today. Attention should be paid to the impact of subsequent international disruptions on the raw material side. Meanwhile, the conclusion of the US-Iran conflict may boost market confidence in exports. In the short term, the most-traded HRC futures contract is expected to maintain a fluctuating trend of moving sideways.

​HRC futures first declined then rebounded today, with the most-traded contract closing at 3,282, up 0.06% WoW. Spot market side, market quotations showed mixed performance, overall market transactions were relatively lackluster, though low-price transactions were moderate. In terms of supply, the impact from maintenance on hot-rolled production was 106,400 mt this week, down 88,800 mt WoW, and next week's hot-rolled maintenance impact is expected to be 11.7 mt, up 10,600 mt WoW, with overall supply still on an increasing trend. Demand side, end-user purchase enthusiasm was unlikely to exceed expectations, with most purchases made on demand at low prices. Inventory side, mainstream city inventory data was released today, with varied performance across markets, but overall destocking exceeded inventory buildup, and the overall destocking trend is likely to continue. Looking ahead, the US-Iran conflict reportedly entered the final stage of detail finalisation today. Attention should be paid to the impact of subsequent international disruptions on the raw material side. Meanwhile, the resolution of the US-Iran conflict may boost market confidence in the export side. In the short term, the most-traded HRC futures contract is expected to maintain a fluctuating trend of moving sideways.

 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
[SMM Steel Market Flash] POSCO Targets 35%-40% Shareholder Return Based on Adjusted Net Income
Apr 30, 2026 22:29
[SMM Steel Market Flash] POSCO Targets 35%-40% Shareholder Return Based on Adjusted Net Income
Read More
[SMM Steel Market Flash] POSCO Targets 35%-40% Shareholder Return Based on Adjusted Net Income
[SMM Steel Market Flash] POSCO Targets 35%-40% Shareholder Return Based on Adjusted Net Income
According to POSCO’s Q1 2026 earnings call, the company has introduced its third interim shareholder return policy and shifted from a free-cash-flow-based approach to a more earnings-linked framework. The new policy targets a shareholder return ratio of 35%-40% of adjusted net profit attributable to controlling interests, to be delivered through a mix of cash dividends and share buybacks or cancellations. POSCO said the change is intended to improve payout visibility while balancing growth investment and shareholder returns.
Apr 30, 2026 22:29
[SMM Steel Market Flash] POSCO Says Middle East Tensions Continue to Squeeze Steel Margins
Apr 30, 2026 22:27
[SMM Steel Market Flash] POSCO Says Middle East Tensions Continue to Squeeze Steel Margins
Read More
[SMM Steel Market Flash] POSCO Says Middle East Tensions Continue to Squeeze Steel Margins
[SMM Steel Market Flash] POSCO Says Middle East Tensions Continue to Squeeze Steel Margins
According to POSCO’s Q1 2026 earnings call, the ongoing US-Iran conflict has pushed up FX, oil, LNG, and logistics costs, creating clear pressure on steel margins. The company said that although sales volumes, production, and utilization rates recovered sequentially, raw material sourcing costs remain elevated due to disruptions linked to the Middle East situation, and this cost pressure is expected to continue into the second quarter.
Apr 30, 2026 22:27
[SMM Hot Topic] HRC Prices Rose MoM in April, Expected to Fluctuate at Highs Before Mid-May
Apr 30, 2026 18:50
[SMM Hot Topic] HRC Prices Rose MoM in April, Expected to Fluctuate at Highs Before Mid-May
Read More
[SMM Hot Topic] HRC Prices Rose MoM in April, Expected to Fluctuate at Highs Before Mid-May
[SMM Hot Topic] HRC Prices Rose MoM in April, Expected to Fluctuate at Highs Before Mid-May
Apr 30, 2026 18:50
Register to Continue Reading
Gain access to the latest insights in metals and new energy
Already have an account?sign in here
[SMM Sheets & Plates Daily Review] Futures Prices Maintain Fluctuating Trend, Attention on Raw Material Price Changes - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)