Cautious Market Sentiment; Iron Ore Prices Fluctuated Rangebound [SMM Brief Review]

Published: Mar 19, 2026 17:46

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Dalian iron ore futures remained in the doldrums today. The most-traded contract, I2605, finally closed at 807.5 yuan/mt, down 0.55% from the previous trading day. Spot prices saw limited transactions, falling by about 2-5 yuan from the previous trading day. Traders offered quotes in line with the market, while steel mills remained cautious and on the sidelines, with some purchasing as needed.
According to the SMM survey, as of March 19, total inventory across the 10 ports tracked by SMM stood at 119.62 million mt, up 630,000 mt MoM. Inventory trends diverged among mainstream products, with notable destocking in IOCJ fines and Newman fines. Inventory of Jimblebar fines also declined slightly. In addition, inventory of PB fines and Mac fines increased slightly. In the short term, improved fundamental demand for iron ore provided support to futures prices. However, close attention should be paid to tomorrow's long-term contract negotiations and the impact of the Middle East conflict, both of which could have a significant effect on iron ore prices.

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