[SMM Analysis] NCM Price Retreat Fails to Fuel Much Buying Appetite

Published: Mar 5, 2026 14:27

This week, ternary material prices edged slightly downward. From a raw material perspective, nickel sulfate, cobalt sulfate, and manganese sulfate prices remained relatively stable with no significant fluctuations. The primary downward pressure on prices came from lithium sulfates: spot prices of lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide saw notable declines in early week, weakening the cost support for ternary materials.

Despite the pronounced decline in lithium sulfate prices early this week, ternary cathode material manufacturers showed relatively limited restocking interest. There are two main reasons for this: First, prior to the price adjustment, most cathode manufacturers had already finalized March orders with downstream battery cell makers and are currently in the order delivery phase, maintaining relatively sufficient raw material inventories. Second, manufacturers generally maintain a "buy on rising, not on falling" mentality, viewing this adjustment primarily as short-term volatility influenced by international situations, with no expectation of sustained lithium sulfate price declines.

In terms of pricing, although lithium carbonate futures prices experienced adjustments, cathode manufacturers' quotations did not see significant declines, mainly because their raw material costs remain higher than current futures prices. Spot market transactions were also quite subdued this week, with market activity dominated by long-term contract supplies.

On the demand side, the EV market showed seasonal recovery, but downstream customers' order fulfillment pace remained slow due to Q1 new energy vehicle sales falling short of expectations. In contrast, e-mobility and consumer electronics markets saw relatively notable growth, primarily driven by some consumer batteries facing "export rush" demand, leading to forward order placements.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Yunnan Energy Wins Bid for 100MW/400MWh Vanadium Flow Battery Storage Project
11 hours ago
Yunnan Energy Wins Bid for 100MW/400MWh Vanadium Flow Battery Storage Project
Read More
Yunnan Energy Wins Bid for 100MW/400MWh Vanadium Flow Battery Storage Project
Yunnan Energy Wins Bid for 100MW/400MWh Vanadium Flow Battery Storage Project
Yunnan Energy announced that it has been selected as the developer of the 100MW/400MWh Ninglang independent shared energy storage project in Lijiang, Yunnan Province. The project, which has been included in Yunnan's 2026 new shared energy storage project list, will adopt a grid-forming vanadium redox flow battery (VRFB) energy storage system and is scheduled to be commissioned within two years. The company said the project will strengthen its new energy business, although it remains subject to regulatory approvals.
11 hours ago
SQM, Codelco Outline Expansion Plan to Lift Lithium Output to 470,000 mt/y
12 hours ago
SQM, Codelco Outline Expansion Plan to Lift Lithium Output to 470,000 mt/y
Read More
SQM, Codelco Outline Expansion Plan to Lift Lithium Output to 470,000 mt/y
SQM, Codelco Outline Expansion Plan to Lift Lithium Output to 470,000 mt/y
SQM and Codelco's lithium joint venture, Novandino, has outlined plans in an environmental impact assessment (EIA) filing to increase annual lithium production capacity from around 270,000 mt currently to as much as 470,000 mt. The expansion is aimed at meeting long-term demand from electric vehicles and grid-scale energy storage. According to the filing, production will first gradually rise to around 300,000 mt before transitioning over seven years to an integrated production system incorporating direct lithium extraction (DLE), with additional capacity expected to come online over several years.
12 hours ago
Congo cobalt exporters fear losing quotas due to administrative glitch, sources say
Jul 3, 2026 22:44
Congo cobalt exporters fear losing quotas due to administrative glitch, sources say
Read More
Congo cobalt exporters fear losing quotas due to administrative glitch, sources say
Congo cobalt exporters fear losing quotas due to administrative glitch, sources say
According to an industry letter seen by Reuters, exporters have been unable to submit export declarations through the customs platform since July 1 because ARECOMS, the Democratic Republic of Congo's strategic minerals regulator, has not formally notified customs to continue processing export quotas. As a result, major producers including CMOC Group, Glencore, Eurasian Resources Group (ERG) and Huayou Cobalt have been unable to complete export procedures. Meanwhile, ARECOMS requires companies to utilize their first-half export quotas by July 5, after which any unused volumes will be withdrawn and reallocated. Industry sources estimate that around 60%–75% of companies are unlikely to meet the deadline due to administrative delays. If the issue is not resolved promptly, up to 20,000 tonnes of cobalt exports, worth approximately US$1.1 billion at current prices, could be affected. CMOC alone could lose almost all of its second-quarter export quota. SMM will continue to monitor developments.
Jul 3, 2026 22:44
Register to Continue Reading
Gain access to the latest insights in metals and new energy
Already have an account?Sign in here