[SMM Analysis] 2026 Mn-based Alloy Market Review and Outlook: H1 Retreat after Rapid Rise, H2 Recovery Rebound
In H1 2026, the manganese industry chain displayed a pattern of "strength first, then weakness, consolidating at highs," with the core of the market revolving around a two-way tug-of-war between high cost support and weak end-use demand.
In H2, the manganese market will feature "cost support, weak demand recovery, and prices drifting higher but relatively limited": the overseas manganese ore market will be more likely to rise than fall, with high port inventory capping gains; SiMn alloy, under production cuts, destocking, and cost support, will see its price center shift upward, though the rebound height will be constrained by the strength of downstream demand recovery and the extent of supply reduction.