Spot discounts came under pressure and widened, with trading subdued amid high copper prices [SMM Shanghai spot copper]

Published: Jan 20, 2026 13:28
[SMM Shanghai Spot Copper] Tomorrow, warrants are expected to continue flowing out, putting further pressure on spot premiums and discounts. With copper prices remaining high, downstream buyers are likely to maintain just-in-time procurement. The spot market is expected to remain in discount tomorrow. In addition, snowfall has occurred in some northern cities, causing delays in the arrival of some cargoes, but overall logistics remain unimpeded.

Today, the spot premiums/discounts for SMM #1 copper cathode against the current month 2602 contract were quoted at a discount of 280 yuan/mt to a discount of 20 yuan/mt, with the average price at a discount of 150 yuan/mt, down 30 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. The SMM #1 copper cathode price ranged from 100,270 to 101,180 yuan/mt. In the morning session, the SHFE copper 2602 contract first rose, then fell, and rebounded slightly. It opened at 101,380 yuan/mt and rose several times to a high of 101,700 yuan/mt, then declined, testing a low of 100,700 yuan/mt twice, before edging up to close at 101,000 yuan/mt. The Contango spread between nearby contracts ranged from 260 yuan/mt to 190 yuan/mt, while the import loss for the current month's SHFE copper contract was between 760-810 yuan/mt.

At the beginning of the morning session, suppliers quoted standard-quality copper at a discount of 200 yuan/mt to 60 yuan/mt. Among them, Zhongtiaoshan and Yuguang were quoted at a discount of 200 yuan/mt, while JCC was quoted at a discount of 20 yuan/mt. Due to scarce supply, high-quality copper such as Guixi and Jinchuan (plate) were quoted at a premium of 30 yuan/mt and 20 yuan/mt, respectively. Prices were then adjusted quickly: Guixi traded at parity, Jinchuan (plate) was quoted at a discount of 30 yuan/mt, while Lufang and JCC were quoted at discounts of 90 yuan/mt and 60 yuan/mt, respectively. Zhongjin, Zhongtiaoshan, and Yuguang were quoted at discounts of 220 yuan/mt to 240 yuan/mt, with some transactions concluded. In the second session, overall trading was sluggish, and suppliers further lowered prices. Jinchuan (plate) was quoted at a discount of 50 yuan/mt, and standard-quality copper was quoted at a discount of 280 yuan/mt to 80 yuan/mt. Trading activity then improved slightly, with Tiefeng and Zhongtiaoshan trading at a discount of 260 yuan/mt.

Looking ahead to tomorrow, warrants continued to flow out, putting further pressure on spot premiums/discounts. With copper prices remaining high, downstream buyers mainly made just-in-time procurement. The spot market is expected to maintain discounts tomorrow. Additionally, snowfall in some northern cities delayed the arrival of some cargoes, but logistics remained generally smooth.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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