January 7: The SM2603 contract opened at 5,978 yuan/mt and closed at 6,000 yuan/mt, up 2.08%. The daily highest price was 6,074 yuan/mt, and the lowest price was 5,918 yuan/mt. Trading volume was 317,100 lots, and open interest was 284,324 lots. Today, SiMn futures prices opened with a fluctuating rise, while spot prices held steady, and market sentiment was warm. Cost side, the market price of the core raw material manganese ore remained high, and traders' offers stayed firm, with transaction prices for manganese ore edging up slightly. Supply side, new SiMn furnaces in the main northern production areas started production earlier, increasing capacity for standard-grade SiMn, and alloy plants maintained stable operations. In south China, alloy plants' operating rates remained stably low. It is understood that the strength of Guangxi's electricity price preferential policy for 2026 remains to be verified, with most plants still maintaining off-peak production. Demand side, the period coincides with the start of winter stockpiling by downstream steel mills, providing potential short-term demand support, while awaiting the release of this month's new round of SiMn tender prices from downstream steel mills. The current SiMn market is holding up well, but continued attention to fundamental supply-demand conditions is still needed.
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