[SMM Sheets & Plates Daily Review] Pessimistic Sentiment Weighs on Prices, Short-Term Outlook Remains Weak

Published: Oct 13, 2025 17:42
HRC futures opened sharply lower today and traded in the doldrums, with the most-traded contract settling at 3,261, down 0.89% intraday. Spot HRC prices fell 10-20 yuan/mt MoM, while cold-rolled coil prices dropped 10 yuan/mt. Market transactions were relatively muted, with some state-owned enterprises making purchases to fulfill previous orders.
Fundamentally, according to the SMM survey, planned commodity HRC output from 54 steel mills in October totaled 18.493 million mt, up 7.3% MoM from the actual output in September. On a daily average basis, production increased 3.9% MoM, indicating persistently high HRC supply pressure. After the holiday, end-users showed weak restocking enthusiasm amid unstable futures performance.
Overall, the US threat to impose 100% additional tariffs on Chinese imports in November has intensified trade friction. Although the impact on ferrous metals is relatively limited, short-term macro sentiment remains dominated by pessimism. Coupled with the unresolved supply-demand imbalance, the most-traded HRC futures contract is expected to continue trading in the doldrums in the near term.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Before the holiday, the black chain is unlikely to see a trend-driven market [SMM Steel Industry Chain Weekly Report].
23 hours ago
Before the holiday, the black chain is unlikely to see a trend-driven market [SMM Steel Industry Chain Weekly Report].
Read More
Before the holiday, the black chain is unlikely to see a trend-driven market [SMM Steel Industry Chain Weekly Report].
Before the holiday, the black chain is unlikely to see a trend-driven market [SMM Steel Industry Chain Weekly Report].
This week, ferrous metals were in the doldrums, with coking coal and coke staging a mid-week rise. At the beginning of the week, financial markets experienced sharp fluctuations, dragging down sentiment in the ferrous chain and leading to a pullback in futures. Mid-week, Indonesia's cut to coke production quotas drove coking coal and coke futures to lead the gains, though the impact was more pronounced on thermal coal, while coking coal's rise was largely sentiment-driven and short-lived. In the latter part of the week, finished products continued their seasonal inventory buildup, and support from the raw material side weakened, causing the entire ferrous chain to pull back. In the spot market, with the Chinese New Year holiday approaching, purchasing activity slowed down further, with end-users only making limited, as-needed purchases at low prices.
23 hours ago
MMi Daily Iron Ore Report (February 6)
23 hours ago
MMi Daily Iron Ore Report (February 6)
Read More
MMi Daily Iron Ore Report (February 6)
MMi Daily Iron Ore Report (February 6)
Today, the DCE iron ore futures continued to hit bottom today, with the most-traded contract I2605 closing at 760.5 yuan/mt, down 1.23% from the previous trading day. Spot prices fell by 5–10 yuan/mt compared to the previous trading day.
23 hours ago
[SMM Chromium Daily Review] Inquiries and Transactions Weakened, Chromium Market Showed Mediocre Performance Before the Holiday
Feb 6, 2026 17:41
[SMM Chromium Daily Review] Inquiries and Transactions Weakened, Chromium Market Showed Mediocre Performance Before the Holiday
Read More
[SMM Chromium Daily Review] Inquiries and Transactions Weakened, Chromium Market Showed Mediocre Performance Before the Holiday
[SMM Chromium Daily Review] Inquiries and Transactions Weakened, Chromium Market Showed Mediocre Performance Before the Holiday
[SMM Chrome Daily Review: Trading and Inquiries Weakened, Chrome Market Showed Mediocre Performance Before the Holiday] February 6, 2026: Today, the ex-factory price of high-carbon ferrochrome in Inner Mongolia was 8,500-8,600 yuan/mt (50% metal content), flat MoM from the previous trading day...
Feb 6, 2026 17:41