[Analysis: Delivery Brand Transfer to Warehouse Leads to Expected Increase in Social Inventory of Lead Ingots]

Published: Sep 15, 2025 12:14
Source: SMM
[Analysis: Delivery Brand Transfer to Warehouse Leads to Expected Increase in Social Inventory of Lead Ingots] SMM reported on September 15: According to SMM, as of September 15, the total social inventory of lead ingots across five locations reached 68,900 mt, an increase of 1,200 mt from September 8; and an increase of 1,900 mt from September 11.
SMM reported on September 15: According to SMM, as of September 15, the total social inventory of lead ingots across five locations reached 68,900 mt, an increase of 1,200 mt from September 8; and an increase of 1,900 mt from September 11.

Today is the delivery day for the SHFE lead 2509 contract. Over the weekend, delivery brand supplies gradually arrived at the warehouses, leading to an expected increase in social inventory. Based on the open interest of the current SHFE lead 2509 contract, the estimated lead ingot delivery volume is around 20,000 mt, nearly double that of the 2508 contract last month. However, compared to the existing stock of nearly 70,000 mt in the delivery warehouses, there is more than enough to complete this delivery. Additionally, as we enter mid-to-late September, with only half a month left until the National Day holiday, downstream enterprises will traditionally stockpile lead ingots according to their needs before the holiday. Some enterprises have already started small-scale stockpiling last week. Coupled with the ongoing maintenance status of primary and secondary lead enterprises, it is expected that after the delivery, the social inventory of lead ingots will pull back.

Data Source Statement: Apart from publicly available information, other data are derived from public information, market communication, and based on SMM's internal database model, processed by SMM for reference only and do not constitute decision-making advice.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Lead Prices Stagnant, Smelters Maintain Firm Offers Amid Losses
18 hours ago
Lead Prices Stagnant, Smelters Maintain Firm Offers Amid Losses
Read More
Lead Prices Stagnant, Smelters Maintain Firm Offers Amid Losses
Lead Prices Stagnant, Smelters Maintain Firm Offers Amid Losses
Lead prices were in the doldrums, while secondary lead smelters maintained firm offers due to losses. The mainstream spot order ex-factory prices including tax narrowed the discount to the SMM #1 lead average price by 100 yuan/mt, shifting to a premium of 0–25 yuan/mt, with some smelters halting offers and sales.
18 hours ago
"Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market Slows as Holidays Approach, Smelters Halt Production"
18 hours ago
"Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market Slows as Holidays Approach, Smelters Halt Production"
Read More
"Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market Slows as Holidays Approach, Smelters Halt Production"
"Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market Slows as Holidays Approach, Smelters Halt Production"
Pre-holiday stockpiling by downstream enterprises had largely concluded, and a few had already entered the holiday period, completely suspending procurement. Next week, secondary lead smelters will enter a concentrated wave of production halts and holidays, resulting in sluggish trading activity in the spot market. Offers for spot refined lead orders were sparse, with prices moving in line with the market.
18 hours ago
Sluggish Transactions in Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market, Prices at 15,250-15,400 Yuan/mt
18 hours ago
Sluggish Transactions in Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market, Prices at 15,250-15,400 Yuan/mt
Read More
Sluggish Transactions in Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market, Prices at 15,250-15,400 Yuan/mt
Sluggish Transactions in Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market, Prices at 15,250-15,400 Yuan/mt
The domestic secondary crude lead market experienced sluggish transactions. As of February 6, 2026, the ex-factory tax-exclusive offers for domestic secondary crude lead stood at 15,250-15,400 yuan/mt. Downstream refined lead and alloy smelters gradually entered the holiday period, showing weak stockpiling willingness. Overseas lead ingot suppliers basically halted transactions with China due to poor consumption in the Chinese market, with only some previously concluded shipments maintaining normal in-transit transportation. The trading atmosphere in the secondary crude lead market will continue to weaken next week.
18 hours ago