[SMM Analysis] Review of the ex-China molybdenum market during China's 2026 National Day holiday and post-holiday outlook: Asian molybdenum oxide edged up in late trading, while ferromolybdenum trading remained sluggish
During China's 2026 National Day holiday, the overseas molybdenum market showed an overall pattern of stability followed by gains. Prices for 57% molybdenum oxide at Busan Port consolidated in a narrow range from October 1 to 6, and by October 7, sellers' indications had moved up to $33.25-33.4/lb Mo, though the high end still awaited confirmation from actual transactions. European ferromolybdenum saw sporadic DDP deals, but overall inquiries and trading remained inactive, while the Asian market continued to be sluggish. During the same period, a fatal accident occurred at the Radomiro Tomic mine in Chile, and a formal strike began at the Centinela mine, further increasing uncertainty in overseas molybdenum raw material supply, though no quantifiable reduction has yet materialized. SMM expects that overseas molybdenum prices may continue to consolidate at highs after the holiday, with the subsequent trend mainly depending on...