News-related factors interfere with ore prices, iron ore prices dive at the end of the trading day [SMM Commentary]

Published: Aug 13, 2025 17:17

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Today, DCE iron ore futures held up well during the session but dived at the close. The most-traded contract I2601 eventually closed at 795, unchanged from yesterday. Traders' willingness to sell was moderate; steel mills restocked on demand. The market transaction sentiment was average. In Shandong, the mainstream transaction prices of PB fines were around 785-788 yuan/mt, unchanged from yesterday's prices; in Tangshan, the transaction prices of PB fines were around 795-800 yuan/mt, unchanged from yesterday's prices.
On August 13, the operating rate of blast furnaces at 242 steel mills surveyed by SMM was 86.49%, down 0.4 percentage points MoM. The daily average hot metal production of the surveyed steel mills was 2.4123 million mt, down 4,300 mt MoM. Hot metal production declined slightly but remained at a high level. Despite persistent rumors of production restrictions in the north, the current oral notifications received by steel mills mainly focused on production restrictions for sintering machines, which may have a limited impact on hot metal production. In the short term, ore prices are supported. However, today's news of investigations into export purchases disrupted market sentiment, causing ore prices to fall in tandem. In the short term, ore prices are significantly influenced by news and are expected to fluctuate at highs.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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