According to quarterly data released by the World Trade Organization (WTO) on July 15, global merchandise trade growth momentum was strong in Q1 2025 due to expectations of tariff increases by the US. Global merchandise trade grew by 3.6% QoQ and 5.3% YoY in Q1 2025, surpassing the WTO's prior expectations. However, trade volumes for automotive products, fuels and ores, as well as iron and steel, declined.
The WTO expects that global trade growth will slow down later in 2025 as inventory levels become largely saturated and tariff increases by the US put pressure on import demand.
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