[SMM Hot-rolled Steel Daily Review] Domestic quotes in the doldrums, poor market trading atmosphere

Published: Jul 16, 2025 17:54
Today, HRC futures and spot prices fluctuated rangebound, with the most-traded contract closing at 3,253, down 0.31%. In the spot market, domestic quotes were mostly stable with some declines, and overall transaction performance was average. In overseas markets, HRC export quotes dropped slightly during the day. Today, HRC inventory data for some mainstream cities were released, with inventory in Lecong and Ningbo declining slightly, while inventory in Shenyang and Shanghai accumulated slightly MoM. Attention should be paid to tomorrow's Thursday SMM weekly HRC supply-demand balance data.

In the short term, HRC inventory is expected to continue to decline slightly this week. Current inventory levels remain at a low point compared to the same period in recent years, with low fundamental contradictions. Coupled with the recent strengthening trend in cost, HRC prices are supported both above and below, and it is expected that the most-traded HRC futures contract will experience sideways movement in the short term, with an upper resistance level at 3,300.

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