[SMM HRC Daily Review] This week, spot transactions improved somewhat. Be cautious of HRC futures jumping initially and then pulling back next week.

Published: Jul 4, 2025 18:00
​Today, HRC futures fluctuated rangebound, with the most-traded contract closing at 3201, up 0.25% on a daily basis. In the spot market, spot prices were in the doldrums, and the market trading atmosphere weakened. The overall daily trading volume fell compared to yesterday, with end-user purchase willingness remaining low. On the news front, US President Trump stated plans to impose tariffs ranging from 60% to 70% and from 10% to 20% on different countries, with countries starting to pay these tariffs from August 1. From the HRC fundamental perspective, the impact from maintenance continued to decline this week, with production increasing slightly by 2,900 mt MoM. The weekly production reached 3.3685 million mt, and the supply pressure of HRC gradually became prominent. On the demand side, orders for automobiles and home appliances slowed down, and the operating rate declined. Considering the recent weak transaction performance in cold-rolled steel orders, the demand for structural steel weakened, and the impact of the off-season became more prominent. This week's significant rally in the futures market somewhat boosted market trading willingness, but it was mostly driven by the release of speculative demand, with no significant improvement in actual demand. Downstream buyers still purchased as needed. On the cost side, iron ore

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