Molybdenum Market Split: Upstream Strength vs. Downstream Weakness on June 19, 2025

[Ganzhou Tungsten Industry Association's February Tungsten Price Forecast] The Ganzhou Tungsten Industry Association's forecast prices for the tungsten market in February 2026 are as follows: 55% black tungsten concentrate at 670,000 yuan per metric ton unit, up 210,000 yuan per metric ton unit MoM from the January price, an increase of 45.65%; ammonium paratungstate at 970,000 yuan/mt, up 300,000 yuan/mt MoM, an increase of 44.78%; medium-grain tungsten powder at 1,630 yuan/kg, up 480 yuan/kg MoM, an increase of 41.74%.

Driven by tight spot raw material supply, a sharp hike in corporate long-term contract prices and festive effects, the tungsten market saw price rises on shrinking volumes this week with domestic and overseas markets moving up in tandem; the strong short-term trend is set to continue, and attention should be paid to the resumption of cemented carbide production, scrap tungsten supply and downstream demand release after the Spring Festival.

In January, the silicon metal market experienced a relatively loose supply-demand balance, with a theoretical inventory buildup of approximately 30,000 mt. In February, both supply and demand contracted simultaneously, and the market is expected to show a tight balance or minor destocking. The current high industry inventory still requires time to be digested, and the sustainability of destocking remains a key variable affecting price trends and market sentiment.