Guosen Securities: Domestic Air Conditioner Production Schedule Rises in H1 2025 Amid High Demand and Policy Drives

Published: Jun 4, 2025 11:55
Guosen Securities released a research report stating that the production schedule data for domestic air conditioner sales in the first half of 2025 (H1) continued to rise. From January to February, production was reduced to accommodate exports, while production gradually increased in March. In addition to seasonal stockpiling factors, the program of large-scale equipment upgrades and consumer goods trade-ins also significantly contributed to this growth. In May, as the 618 shopping festival period approached and demand peaked, the production schedule showed strong growth. Driven by the high summer temperatures in the second quarter (Q2), refrigerant consumption entered the peak season, and trading activity gradually increased against the backdrop of low inventory levels. Looking ahead to the third quarter (Q3), with the continued implementation of the "trade-in policy" and enterprises entering maintenance cycles after high-load production in the first half of the year, it is expected that market prices will exhibit a monthly stepped increase in Q3, and the market is anticipated to further strengthen under mild stimulus.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Bezant Targets First Concentrate at Namibia’s Hope & Gorob in September
1 hour ago
Bezant Targets First Concentrate at Namibia’s Hope & Gorob in September
Read More
Bezant Targets First Concentrate at Namibia’s Hope & Gorob in September
Bezant Targets First Concentrate at Namibia’s Hope & Gorob in September
Bezant Resources said development of the Hope & Gorob copper-gold project in Namibia and the associated Tsoaxaub Metals Processing Plant remains in line with the current project schedule, with first run-of-mine ore expected to be processed during September 2026. Subject to completion of the remaining commissioning activities, processing of the first ROM ore is expected to generate the project’s first concentrate. Ore from the first two mine blasts has already been stockpiled and is ready for transport to the processing plant, while Bezant said the stockpiled tonnage exceeded initial projections due to additional ore recovery recorded in the company’s Mineral Inventory. Development work is progressing at both the mine and processing plant. Mine-site camp construction is approximately 75% complete, around 75% of surface infrastructure has been delivered and is being installed, and the full Unitrans mining and haulage fleets are now on site. At the Tsoaxaub plant, Bezant has received the C1 Civils and Structural Completion Certificate, confirming completion of major structural steelwork and civil works, while the C2 Mechanical Completion Certificate is scheduled for completion during September. Electrical drives and instrumentation are around 90% complete, with the cone crusher, flotation equipment, tailings infrastructure and other processing components undergoing final preparation ahead of commissioning. Bezant has also accelerated its review of a Phase II expansion plan, considering current and projected copper, gold and silver prices as well as the potential inclusion of lower-grade mineralisation that had previously been considered sub-economic. The company is evaluating a higher mass-pull operating strategy for the ore sorter that could increase copper recoveries, although potentially at a lower pre-concentrate grade. Based on the current Mineral Inventory, existing JORC (2012) Mineral Resource, planned flotation-plant capacity and the higher mass-pull scenario under consideration, management believes Hope & Gorob has the potential to support an approximately 35-year mine life. Bezant has not yet published a revised economic model incorporating this longer-life scenario. SMM Analysis: The September processing target places Hope & Gorob close to the transition from mine development into initial concentrate production, with ROM ore already stockpiled and key processing infrastructure approaching mechanical completion. The potential 35-year mine life and Phase II expansion remain under technical and economic review and should not yet be treated as a confirmed revised development plan. In the near term, the key milestone to watch will be completion of plant commissioning and confirmation of first concentrate production during September.
1 hour ago
SMM expects overall copper anode operating rate to edge up MoM in September
1 hour ago
SMM expects overall copper anode operating rate to edge up MoM in September
Read More
SMM expects overall copper anode operating rate to edge up MoM in September
SMM expects overall copper anode operating rate to edge up MoM in September
[SMM Copper Anode Flash] SMM expects the overall operating rate of China copper anode enterprises to rebound 1.30 percentage points MoM to 44.11% in September 2026. Among them, primary copper anode enterprises are expected to see their operating rate fall 7.19 percentage points MoM to 57.88% due to maintenance at some enterprises and refining capacity ramp-up; secondary copper anode enterprises are expected to see their operating rate rebound 4.76 percentage points MoM to 38.48%. (Non-captive copper anode only)
1 hour ago
Aug SMM China copper anode operating rate fell to 42.81% MoM
1 hour ago
Aug SMM China copper anode operating rate fell to 42.81% MoM
Read More
Aug SMM China copper anode operating rate fell to 42.81% MoM
Aug SMM China copper anode operating rate fell to 42.81% MoM
[SMM Copper Anode Flash] In August 2026, the operating rate of SMM China copper anode enterprises was 42.81%, down 1.85 percentage points MoM. By raw material, the operating rate of primary copper anode enterprises rose 1.54 percentage points MoM to 65.07%; the operating rate of secondary copper anode enterprises fell 3.23 percentage points MoM to 33.72% due to tight supply of tax-inclusive copper scrap. (Non-captive copper anode only)
1 hour ago