[SMM HRC Daily Review] Upward Drivers Weaken, HRC Futures in the Doldrums
Today, the most-traded HRC futures contract first rose and then fell, closing at 3,202, down 0.38%. In the spot market, quotes were mostly in the doldrums during the day, with overall trading performance being average. In terms of supply, the impact from HRC maintenance this week was 274,200 mt, up 63,200 mt WoW. Short-term supply pressure is expected to continue to ease. In terms of demand, end-use demand remains resilient in the short term, with inventories in Zhangjiagang and Shenyang continuing to decline. On the cost side, pig iron output is expected to decrease but will remain at a high level, with cost support remaining intact for now. In summary, the imbalance in the HRC fundamentals is not yet apparent. The optimism brought about by the earlier suspension of tariffs has faded somewhat, and there is still uncertainty regarding the increase in subsequent demand. In the short term, the most-traded HRC futures contract may fluctuate rangebound at its current level, and it is recommended to go short on rallies.