NewsFlash / Steel / Fed Rate Outlook: June Unchanged Likely at 88.4%, July Cuts Seen Possible
Fed Rate Outlook: June Unchanged Likely at 88.4%, July Cuts Seen Possible
iconMay 13, 2025 09:30
Source:SMM
[Probability of US Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in June is 88.4%] According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the US Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in June is 88.4%, and the probability of a 25-basis-point interest rate cut is 11.6%. The probability of the US Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in July is 59.2%, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point interest rate cut is 37%, and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point interest rate cut is 3.8%.
Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market exchanges, and relying on SMM's internal database model, for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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