【SMM Daily Briefing on Coke & Coal】April 27, 2025

Published: Apr 27, 2025 17:45
[SMM Daily Review of Coking Coal and Coke] In terms of supply, coking enterprises have moderate profits, with good operating rates and strong sales, keeping coke inventory at a low level. Demand side, pig iron production from blast furnaces at steel mills remains high, creating a rigid demand for coke. Additionally, some steel mills have a certain stockpiling demand ahead of the Labour Day holiday, resulting in moderate enthusiasm for coke procurement. In summary, there is a relatively small imbalance in the coke fundamentals. However, the market has once again heard about policies to reduce crude steel output, and downstream players have strong wait-and-see sentiment. In the short term, coke prices may remain stable.

[SMM Daily Briefing on Coking Coal and Coke]

Coking Coal Market:

In Linfen, the quoted price for low-sulphur coking coal is 1,330 yuan/mt. In Tangshan, the quoted price for low-sulphur coking coal is 1,370 yuan/mt.

In terms of fundamentals, most coal mines are maintaining a stable production pace, and the supply of coking coal is showing a loose trend. Traders are purchasing as needed and adopting a wait-and-see attitude towards the market outlook. Even at lower prices, transaction volumes remain average, with downstream coking and steel enterprises also primarily adopting a wait-and-see approach. In summary, the coking coal market is expected to weaken in the short term.

Coke Market:

The nationwide average price for first-grade metallurgical coke (dry quenching) is 1,680 yuan/mt. The nationwide average price for quasi-first-grade metallurgical coke (dry quenching) is 1,540 yuan/mt. The nationwide average price for first-grade metallurgical coke (wet quenching) is 1,340 yuan/mt. The nationwide average price for quasi-first-grade metallurgical coke (wet quenching) is 1,250 yuan/mt.

In terms of supply, coking enterprises are enjoying moderate profits, maintaining a good level of operation, and experiencing favourable shipment conditions. Coke inventory levels remain low. In terms of demand, steel mills' blast furnace pig iron production remains high, creating a rigid demand for coke. Additionally, some steel mills have a certain stockpiling demand ahead of the Labour Day holiday, resulting in moderate enthusiasm for coke procurement. In summary, the fundamental imbalance in the coke market is relatively small. However, the market has once again heard about policies to reduce crude steel production, and downstream enterprises are showing strong wait-and-see sentiment. In the short term, coke prices are expected to remain stable for the time being. [SMM Steel]

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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