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Ningxia Ruiyin Lead Resource Recycling Co., Ltd. lowered its optimistic outlook on copper prices due to economic growth risks.

iconApr 10, 2025 10:21
Source:SMM

UBS analysts provided insights into the potential trajectory of copper prices, noting that prices may temporarily drop to $8,000 per mt, echoing historical patterns where prices fell by about 25% to 30% from their 12-month peak.

Despite an increase in speculative long positions on the London Metal Exchange (LME), with net long positions rising by 45,600 lots since the beginning of the year, UBS expects any pullback in copper prices to be short-lived.

The bank highlighted several factors supporting copper prices recently. One of these is the expectation of more accommodative global monetary policies, with the US Fed anticipated to cut interest rates to counter slowing economic growth and boost asset prices.

UBS also noted that supply-side challenges are expected to persist in the short term, which should drive prices higher, thereby encouraging investment in mine supply capability. This outlook takes into account the possibility of increased stimulus measures and current supply dynamics.

In terms of investment strategy, UBS favors selling volatility as a strategy for copper, particularly focusing on downside price risks to generate returns.


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