The probability of the US Fed maintaining unchanged interest rates in May is 91.1%, according to CME's "Fed Watch". The probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut is 8.9%. The probability of the US Fed maintaining unchanged interest rates by June is 30.5%, with cumulative probabilities of a 25 basis point cut at 63.6% and a 50 basis point cut at 5.9%.
Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market exchanges, and relying on SMM's internal database model, for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.